TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092320
Played Sep 8Finished
Adrian Wiecek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511811––––
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdrian Wiecek above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 56.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Wiecek 34–61 Martin Olejnik Adrian Wiecek has won 34 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-61 in 95
Olejnik
Correct
gap of 27 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiecek 1879 vs Olejnik 1829
Wiecek
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiecek 60% vs Olejnik 20%
Wiecek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiecek 50% vs Olejnik 20%
Wiecek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiecek -2 · Olejnik -4
Olejnik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiecek 2.10 / Olejnik 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092320
Wiecek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 88 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Olejnik1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 195 of 323
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it85% 145 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiecek2wins
AwayOlejnik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOlejnik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiecek50%2 of 4
AwayOlejnik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiecek4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S2Wiecek2Olejnik8n = 10Olejnik took 8 of 10
S3Wiecek3Olejnik7n = 10Olejnik took 7 of 10
S4Wiecek1Olejnik6n = 7Olejnik took 6 of 7
S5Wiecek2Olejnik1n = 3Wiecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWiecekOlejnikW − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.341.0−6.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWiecekOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime775 / 1403 vs 452 / 82155.2%55.1%775 / 1403 vs 452 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikWiecek 2.10/Olejnik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 09:00A. Wiecek—147581M. Olejnik—121111113
LAug 18 · 07:45A. Wiecek—81080M. Olejnik—1112113
LAug 11 · 10:25A. Wiecek—7116121M. Olejnik—11611143
LAug 11 · 07:20A. Wiecek—3101161M. Olejnik—11125113
WAug 4 · 12:55A. Wiecek—111197123M. Olejnik—471111102
LAug 4 · 04:55A. Wiecek—11871292M. Olejnik—9111110113
LJul 28 · 14:35A. Wiecek—8620M. Olejnik—1111113
LJul 28 · 03:45A. Wiecek—9890M. Olejnik—1111113
WJul 21 · 14:35A. Wiecek—1110114113M. Olejnik—81271192
LJul 21 · 03:45A. Wiecek—581171M. Olejnik—11119113
A. Wiecek10
WSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.677121191A. Wiecek2.1011146113LSep 8 · 03:45A. Wiecek2.00181174102T. Spanik1.731691111123LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113
M. Olejnik10
LSep 8 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.25611911113M. Olejnik3.7511511892LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113
Upcoming Matches
A. Wiecek
M. Olejnik
Sep 8 · 06:05M. Olejnik1.80T. Spanik1.91—Sep 8 · 07:20M. Olejnik2.00P. David1.73—Sep 8 · 08:30M. Olejnik1.67J. Kosowski2.10—Sep 8 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 8 · 10:25M. Olejnik1.50K. Kolodziej2.50—Sep 8 · 12:05M. Olejnik1.67A. Wiecek2.10—Sep 8 · 12:55M. Olejnik1.80T. Spanik1.91—Sep 8 · 13:45M. Olejnik1.67J. Kosowski2.10—
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