TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059422
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Krzysztof Wloczko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 58.6%
55 points played in total.
H2H Martin Olejnik 13–13 Krzysztof Wloczko Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Olejnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1832 vs Wloczko 1851
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 20% vs Wloczko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 20% vs Wloczko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik -2 · Wloczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.53 / Wloczko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Olejnik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13059422
Olejnik1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 199 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it86% 148 of 173
Wloczko2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 156 of 394
Down 0–1, comes back19% 40 of 214
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOlejnik6wins
AwayWloczko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOlejnik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnik66.7%2 of 3
AwayWloczko42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S2Olejnik5Wloczko5n = 10split evenly
S3Olejnik7Wloczko3n = 10Olejnik took 7 of 10
S4Olejnik4Wloczko2n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S5Olejnik2Wloczko1n = 3Olejnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOlejnikWloczkoO − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.536.3+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 832 vs 944 / 180555.1%52.3%458 / 832 vs 944 / 1805Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikOlejnik 1.53/Wloczko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik—81080K. Wloczko—1112113
WAug 28 · 10:00M. Olejnik—41111113K. Wloczko—118971
WAug 21 · 15:45M. Olejnik—91811113K. Wloczko—1116981
LAug 21 · 06:30M. Olejnik—4730K. Wloczko—1111113
LAug 11 · 09:40M. Olejnik—361181K. Wloczko—11119113
WAug 7 · 10:00M. Olejnik—5111111113K. Wloczko—11139662
LAug 7 · 08:05M. Olejnik—12148872K. Wloczko—10121111113
WJul 31 · 08:05M. Olejnik—1211113K. Wloczko—10450
WJul 21 · 13:20M. Olejnik—851111113K. Wloczko—11117662
WJul 21 · 04:30M. Olejnik—1111113K. Wloczko—5190
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113WSep 3 · 05:15A. Dosz1.446960K. Wloczko2.631111113LSep 3 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.5051111113K. Wloczko2.50116961WSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113
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