TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13030653
Played Aug 28Finished
Martin Olejnik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111113115111811
Adam Dosz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Dosz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Olejnik above · Adam Dosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Adam Dosz at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Martin Olejnik 1–8 Adam Dosz Martin Olejnik has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dosz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Dosz
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Olejnik 1969 vs Dosz 1970
Dosz
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Olejnik 100% vs Dosz 60%
Olejnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Olejnik 70% vs Dosz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Olejnik +5 · Dosz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dosz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.91 / Dosz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dosz)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13030653
Olejnik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Dosz1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 56 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeOlejnik1wins
AwayDosz8wins
4 of 9 to a deciderDosz leads 8–1, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnik20%1 of 5
AwayDosz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik5Dosz4n = 9Olejnik took 5 of 9
S2Olejnik1Dosz8n = 9Dosz took 8 of 9
S3Olejnik6Dosz3n = 9Olejnik took 6 of 9
S4Olejnik2Dosz6n = 8Dosz took 6 of 8
S5Olejnik0Dosz4n = 4Dosz took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricOlejnikDoszO − DBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.143.9−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 839 vs 156 / 27155.5%57.6%466 / 839 vs 156 / 271Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DoszOlejnik 1.91/Dosz 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dosz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 28 · 06:30M. Olejnik—12711942A. Dosz—1011211113
LMay 1 · 14:05M. Olejnik—114761A. Dosz—9111183
WMay 1 · 04:50M. Olejnik—11411113A. Dosz—711451
LMar 21 · 14:40M. Olejnik—91311121A. Dosz—11156143
LMar 21 · 12:10M. Olejnik—147139152A. Dosz—12111111173
LMar 21 · 07:40M. Olejnik—78111752A. Dosz—1111915113
LAug 29 · 10:00M. Olejnik—119571A. Dosz—61111113
LAug 29 · 09:10M. Olejnik—3680A. Dosz—1111113
LJan 11 · 14:40M. Olejnik—71111692A. Dosz—117711113
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791
A. Dosz10
WSep 4 · 15:25D. Michna2.10136121182A. Dosz1.671111149113LSep 4 · 14:35K. Kolodziej2.751181011113A. Dosz1.4061112752LSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172LSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:00A. Grela2.6351161162A. Dosz1.44116119113LSep 4 · 08:05A. Grela2.00811115113A. Dosz1.7311981192LSep 4 · 07:20D. Michna1.80121111113A. Dosz1.911013771LSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871WSep 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83811871A. Dosz1.8311811113WSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
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