TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058703
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr David
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171113117119––
Martin Olejnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:02 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Petr David at 58.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 30–30 Martin Olejnik Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-30 in 60
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1944 vs Olejnik 1958
Olejnik
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 80% vs Olejnik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Olejnik 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +3 · Olejnik -1
David
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.61 / Olejnik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (David)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13058703
David1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 243 of 359
Up 2–0, closes it97% 129 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 227
Olejnik2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayOlejnik4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid75%3 of 4
AwayOlejnik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10
S2David7Olejnik3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3David7Olejnik3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S4David2Olejnik5n = 7Olejnik took 5 of 7
S5David4Olejnik3n = 7David took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidOlejnikD − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.742.4+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime643 / 983 vs 464 / 83065.4%55.9%643 / 983 vs 464 / 830Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.61/Olejnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 09:00P. David—911129113M. Olejnik—115101192
LAug 4 · 06:30P. David—61151492M. Olejnik—1161112113
LJul 1 · 10:00P. David—88110M. Olejnik—1111133
WJul 1 · 05:40P. David—1111123M. Olejnik—79100
WJun 12 · 14:50P. David—8111012113M. Olejnik—118121082
WJun 12 · 08:35P. David—7111213113M. Olejnik—119101592
LJun 5 · 12:00P. David—101111882M. Olejnik—125911113
WJun 5 · 03:20P. David—1112116113M. Olejnik—91481112
LMay 19 · 12:50P. David—11411492M. Olejnik—811411113
WMay 19 · 05:50P. David—1113113M. Olejnik—91170
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
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