TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065118
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr David
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111147111012––
Slawomir Dosz
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Slawomir Dosz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Petr David at 68.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 14–7 Slawomir Dosz Slawomir Dosz has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
David
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1953 vs Dosz 1941
David
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 40% vs Dosz 60%
Dosz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Dosz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Dosz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dosz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.36 / Dosz 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (David)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13065118
David1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 242 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it97% 126 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 186 of 225
Dosz3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid6wins
AwayDosz4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%4 of 4
AwayDosz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David4Dosz6n = 10Dosz took 6 of 10
S2David5Dosz5n = 10split evenly
S3David6Dosz4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David5Dosz2n = 7David took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidDoszDavid − DoszBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.434.0+3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidDoszBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 984 vs 54 / 12165.7%44.6%646 / 984 vs 54 / 121Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.36/Dosz 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.8%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dosz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 09:20P. David—7117101S. Dosz—11411123
LSep 3 · 05:40P. David—61080S. Dosz—1112113
WAug 28 · 03:00P. David—116118113S. Dosz—71121152
LAug 23 · 09:20P. David—81250S. Dosz—1114113
WAug 23 · 05:40P. David—61111113S. Dosz—119741
WAug 22 · 10:00P. David—111111113S. Dosz—139841
WAug 22 · 06:55P. David—111111113S. Dosz—641391
WAug 16 · 10:25P. David—1111103S. Dosz—7990
WAug 16 · 05:50P. David—11911113S. Dosz—711751
LAug 15 · 11:10P. David—58111172S. Dosz—111147113
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113WSep 3 · 06:55P. David1.9111812113M. Jadczyk1.808111051
S. Dosz10
LSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113LSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:20J. Zochniak2.80111177113S. Dosz1.3786111192LSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:30S. Dosz2.204711101A. Grela1.6111116123WSep 4 · 05:15S. Dosz2.0081111113A. Dosz1.73118871LSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591WSep 4 · 03:25S. Dosz2.2511311113D. Michna1.57911491
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