TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065170
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr David
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811117611––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Petr David at 61.3%
76 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 65–35 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 35 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-35 in 100
David
Wrong
gap of 30 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1972 vs Wiecek 1879
David
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Wiecek 40%
David
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Wiecek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David +2 · Wiecek -3
Wiecek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.57 / Wiecek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (David)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065170
David1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 242 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it97% 126 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 186 of 225
Wiecek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 89 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back19% 21 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid8wins
AwayWiecek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid87.5%7 of 8
AwayWiecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David8Wiecek2n = 10David took 8 of 10
S2David7Wiecek3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S3David4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S4David7Wiecek2n = 9David took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidWiecekD − WBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.236.2+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 983 vs 779 / 141565.7%55.1%646 / 983 vs 779 / 1415Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.57/Wiecek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wiecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 1 · 13:45P. David—15911143A. Wiecek—13118121
WJul 1 · 08:30P. David—11118113A. Wiecek—931161
WJun 30 · 11:40P. David—91711113A. Wiecek—1115741
WJun 30 · 04:55P. David—127611123A. Wiecek—1011113102
LJun 10 · 10:25P. David—511681A. Wiecek—11811113
WJun 10 · 06:40P. David—11116123A. Wiecek—9711101
WMay 20 · 13:40P. David—13119113A. Wiecek—1141131
WMay 20 · 09:35P. David—11112113A. Wiecek—481171
WMay 19 · 13:40P. David—1111113A. Wiecek—9970
LMay 19 · 09:35P. David—11711782A. Wiecek—711511113
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113WSep 3 · 06:55P. David1.9111812113M. Jadczyk1.808111051
A. Wiecek10
LSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113WSep 4 · 13:45A. Wiecek1.4411119113D. Michna2.63891191WSep 4 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.91111459113A. Dosz1.80912111172WSep 4 · 11:15A. Grela1.838680A. Wiecek1.831111113LSep 4 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.331171121K. Kolodziej3.2513119113LSep 4 · 08:30A. Wiecek1.539111181D. Michna2.3811713113WSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581LSep 4 · 05:40A. Wiecek1.9111311992A. Grela1.80811811113WSep 4 · 04:10A. Wiecek1.40111011113S. Dosz2.75712591LSep 4 · 03:00A. Wiecek2.00951151A. Dosz1.7311118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.