TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065052
Played Sep 3Finished
Petr David
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1188111210115––
Marcin Jadczyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr David above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 42–39 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 39 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:22What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-39 in 81
David
Correct
gap of 3 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1957 vs Jadczyk 1878
David
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Jadczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Jadczyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -2 · Jadczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.91 / Jadczyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13065052
David1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Jadczyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 443 of 695
Up 2–0, closes it98% 224 of 229
Up 1–0, closes it83% 350 of 421
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid7wins
AwayJadczyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid100%5 of 5
AwayJadczyk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David5Jadczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2David3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S3David7Jadczyk3n = 10David took 7 of 10
S4David6Jadczyk2n = 8David took 6 of 8
S5David3Jadczyk1n = 4David took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidJadczykD − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.2+1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 983 vs 984 / 168065.8%58.6%647 / 983 vs 984 / 1680Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykDavid 1.91/Jadczyk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:55P. David—11812113M. Jadczyk—8111051
WSep 2 · 12:55P. David—711411113M. Jadczyk—11611862
WSep 2 · 07:45P. David—1111113M. Jadczyk—6940
WAug 28 · 15:00P. David—11811133M. Jadczyk—9118111
LAug 28 · 06:55P. David—561191M. Jadczyk—11118113
WAug 23 · 06:55P. David—111111113M. Jadczyk—413781
WAug 5 · 13:45P. David—881111113M. Jadczyk—11119682
LAug 4 · 07:45P. David—91161162M. Jadczyk—114119113
LAug 2 · 06:55P. David—41290M. Jadczyk—1114113
WAug 1 · 03:45P. David—123118113M. Jadczyk—101191172
P. David10
LSep 7 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.831212113P. David1.83101090WSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113WSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 3 · 13:45P. David1.4413711143D. Michna2.6311113121LSep 3 · 12:30P. David1.571081161A. Wiecek2.2512117113WSep 3 · 11:15P. David1.3011116113K. Kolodziej3.40871151WSep 3 · 10:00A. Dosz2.001110761P. David1.7391211113LSep 3 · 09:20P. David1.367117101S. Dosz3.0011411123LSep 3 · 08:30P. David1.501011861D. Michna2.5012711113
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Wiecek1.9111511113M. Jadczyk1.80911581
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