TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058779
Played Sep 2Finished
Marcin Jadczyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151171012119––
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 54.0%
52 points drawn · the score is 24 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 26–30 Martin Olejnik Marcin Jadczyk has won 26 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:14What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-30 in 56
Olejnik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1898 vs Olejnik 1950
Olejnik
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 60% vs Olejnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 70% vs Olejnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk -1 · Olejnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 1.80 / Olejnik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jadczyk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13058779
Jadczyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 440 of 688
Up 2–0, closes it98% 223 of 228
Up 1–0, closes it83% 346 of 415
Olejnik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk9wins
AwayOlejnik1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJadczyk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk100%8 of 8
AwayOlejnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk8Olejnik2n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S2Jadczyk8Olejnik2n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S3Jadczyk8Olejnik2n = 10Jadczyk took 8 of 10
S4Jadczyk4Olejnik1n = 5Jadczyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykOlejnikJ − OBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.228.5+9.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime971 / 1657 vs 464 / 83158.6%55.8%971 / 1657 vs 464 / 831Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykJadczyk 1.80/Olejnik 1.91
Hit
What we said
54%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 15:00M. Jadczyk—63111142M. Olejnik—111194113
WAug 14 · 06:05M. Jadczyk—1111113M. Olejnik—9360
WAug 11 · 06:05M. Jadczyk—1111113M. Olejnik—2630
WAug 7 · 14:10M. Jadczyk—1111133M. Olejnik—45110
WAug 7 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—11611133M. Olejnik—8117111
WAug 4 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—1111113M. Olejnik—7930
WJul 31 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—11127113M. Olejnik—8101191
WJul 24 · 11:40M. Jadczyk—11129113M. Olejnik—9101171
WJul 24 · 03:45M. Jadczyk—1111113M. Olejnik—5860
WJul 14 · 12:55M. Jadczyk—11111111113M. Olejnik—13561332
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 7 · 07:45J. Kosowski1.8181111113M. Jadczyk1.86117871LSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591WSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282WSep 7 · 03:45P. David1.91117851M. Jadczyk1.8091111113WSep 4 · 15:00A. Wiecek2.38811581M. Jadczyk1.5311511113LSep 4 · 14:10A. Grela2.10129147113M. Jadczyk1.671011121182LSep 4 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.44591191K. Kolodziej2.6311118113WSep 4 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.8311912133A. Dosz1.8381110111WSep 4 · 10:50D. Michna1.836880M. Jadczyk1.831111113WSep 4 · 07:45S. Dosz2.38891161M. Jadczyk1.5311116113
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113WSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
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