TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058884
Played Sep 2Finished
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214111118114911
Martin Olejnik
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Olejnik to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitrij Prokopcov above · Martin Olejnik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Olejnik at 67.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dmitrij Prokopcov 0–2 Martin Olejnik Dmitrij Prokopcov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Olejnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prokopcov 1701 vs Olejnik 1946
Olejnik
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokopcov 40% vs Olejnik 60%
Olejnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokopcov 40% vs Olejnik 60%
Olejnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokopcov -2 · Olejnik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Olejnik) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olejnik form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkopcov 3.75 / Olejnik 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Olejnik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058884
Prokopcov3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 32 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Olejnik1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 199 of 326
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it86% 148 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeProkopcov0wins
AwayOlejnik2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOlejnik leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricProkopcovOlejnikP − OBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.545.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkopcovOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 216 vs 464 / 83142.6%55.8%92 / 216 vs 464 / 831Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlejnikProkopcov 3.75/Olejnik 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Olejnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 15 · 12:50D. Prokopcov—115721M. Olejnik—71111113
LMay 15 · 04:50D. Prokopcov—91291192M. Olejnik—1110117113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792WSep 2 · 10:30M. Kolek2.607550D. Prokopcov1.411111113LSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 06:30P. David1.3311571192D. Prokopcov3.25711118113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113LSep 2 · 03:45D. Prokopcov2.7511101031M. Jadczyk1.4091212113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
M. Olejnik10
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Olejnik1.535890K. Wloczko2.381111113LSep 2 · 12:30P. Cyrnek1.8315911113M. Olejnik1.831311961LSep 2 · 11:40P. David1.7371111113M. Olejnik2.00113641WSep 2 · 10:50M. Olejnik1.4441113113K. Kolodziej2.631161161LSep 2 · 09:40M. Olejnik1.7310490M. Jadczyk2.001211113LSep 2 · 08:30P. Cyrnek1.8311211113M. Olejnik1.83211671LSep 2 · 07:20M. Olejnik1.6781080K. Wloczko2.101112113LSep 2 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.80111110113M. Olejnik1.91571291LSep 2 · 03:25P. David1.61111111113M. Olejnik2.20713791LAug 28 · 15:45M. Olejnik1.91711111182A. Dosz1.80111351113
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