TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13061172
Played Sep 2Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511511––––
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeDmitrij Prokopcov to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
711511511––––
H2H Maciej Kolek 0–5 Dmitrij Prokopcov Maciej Kolek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Prokopcov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Prokopcov
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1573 vs Prokopcov 1737
Prokopcov
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 20% vs Prokopcov 60%
Prokopcov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 40% vs Prokopcov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -3 · Prokopcov -1
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Prokopcov) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokopcov form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.60 / Prokopcov 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Prokopcov)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13061172
Kolek2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 183 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back20% 57 of 279
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 132
Prokopcov1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 56 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKolek0wins
AwayProkopcov5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderProkopcov leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayProkopcov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek2Prokopcov3n = 5Prokopcov took 3 of 5
S2Kolek2Prokopcov3n = 5Prokopcov took 3 of 5
S3Kolek1Prokopcov4n = 5Prokopcov took 4 of 5
S4Kolek1Prokopcov3n = 4Prokopcov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKolekProkopcovK − PBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.843.0−7.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime666 / 1348 vs 95 / 22149.4%43%666 / 1348 vs 95 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkopcovKolek 2.60/Prokopcov 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Prokopcov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prokopcov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 14 · 06:50M. Kolek—81171172D. Prokopcov—116116113
LJul 14 · 04:25M. Kolek—1111581D. Prokopcov—81311113
LJun 26 · 09:20M. Kolek—5970D. Prokopcov—1111113
LJun 17 · 06:25M. Kolek—116591D. Prokopcov—91111113
LJun 17 · 04:00M. Kolek—101111792D. Prokopcov—129911113
M. Kolek10
WSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Kolek3.0088121162J. Kuzmicz1.361111108113WSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791LSep 4 · 22:05M. Kolek2.38791121P. Jendrzejewski1.5311116113LSep 4 · 21:20T. Filbrandt1.6711411113M. Kolek2.10711491LSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961WSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113LSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.6189111172M. Kolek2.20111167113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792LSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 06:30P. David1.3311571192D. Prokopcov3.25711118113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113LSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:45D. Prokopcov2.7511101031M. Jadczyk1.4091212113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
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