TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059414
Played Sep 2Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121181191513––
Dmitrij Prokopcov
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:05 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeDmitrij Prokopcov to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
10121181191513––
H2H Adrian Spychala 1–4 Dmitrij Prokopcov Adrian Spychala has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Prokopcov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Prokopcov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1686 vs Prokopcov 1752
Prokopcov
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 40% vs Prokopcov 60%
Prokopcov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 40% vs Prokopcov 60%
Prokopcov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala -3 · Prokopcov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Prokopcov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 2.25 / Prokopcov 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Prokopcov)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13059414
Spychala2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 135 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back13% 38 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 165
Prokopcov1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 56 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSpychala1wins
AwayProkopcov4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderProkopcov leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychalan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayProkopcov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala1Prokopcov4n = 5Prokopcov took 4 of 5
S2Spychala4Prokopcov1n = 5Spychala took 4 of 5
S3Spychala0Prokopcov5n = 5Prokopcov took 5 of 5
S4Spychala2Prokopcov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSpychalaProkopcovS − PBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.641.2−7.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaProkopcovBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1551 vs 95 / 22037.3%43.2%578 / 1551 vs 95 / 220Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkopcovSpychala 2.25/Prokopcov 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Prokopcov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 1 · 09:20A. Spychala—611971D. Prokopcov—11711113
WAug 18 · 14:35A. Spychala—17116113D. Prokopcov—1591171
LJun 5 · 12:20A. Spychala—4280D. Prokopcov—1111113
LJun 5 · 04:35A. Spychala—81141182D. Prokopcov—118118113
LMay 15 · 06:40A. Spychala—911771D. Prokopcov—11911113
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113LSep 1 · 20:30A. Spychala2.00971261M. Olbrycht1.73111110113
D. Prokopcov10
WSep 2 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.5011119752D. Prokopcov1.50591111113WSep 2 · 13:25J. Witkowski2.35911641D. Prokopcov1.5411511113LSep 2 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz1.46991111113D. Prokopcov2.4811117792WSep 2 · 10:30M. Kolek2.607550D. Prokopcov1.411111113WSep 2 · 08:05D. Prokopcov1.73611127113K. Wloczko2.00116101172WSep 2 · 06:30P. David1.3311571192D. Prokopcov3.25711118113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Cyrnek1.309880D. Prokopcov3.401111113LSep 2 · 04:55D. Prokopcov3.75121111192M. Olejnik1.25141184113LSep 2 · 03:45D. Prokopcov2.7511101031M. Jadczyk1.4091212113LSep 1 · 14:35L. Jarocki1.911115118113D. Prokopcov1.8061761162
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