TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059409
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukasz Pietraszko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012119119611511
Adrian Spychala
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAdrian Spychala to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukasz Pietraszko above · Adrian Spychala below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 95 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Adrian Spychala at 62.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Lukasz Pietraszko 1–12 Adrian Spychala Lukasz Pietraszko has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Spychala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-12 in 13
Spychala
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pietraszko 1606 vs Spychala 1711
Spychala
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pietraszko 80% vs Spychala 60%
Pietraszko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pietraszko 90% vs Spychala 50%
Pietraszko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pietraszko -1 · Spychala +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Spychala) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPietraszko 2.63 / Spychala 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Spychala)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13059409
Pietraszko2.63
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 95 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Spychala1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePietraszko1wins
AwaySpychala9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSpychala leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePietraszko33.3%1 of 3
AwaySpychala100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pietraszko3Spychala7n = 10Spychala took 7 of 10
S2Pietraszko2Spychala8n = 10Spychala took 8 of 10
S3Pietraszko4Spychala6n = 10Spychala took 6 of 10
S4Pietraszko2Spychala5n = 7Spychala took 5 of 7
S5Pietraszko1Spychala3n = 4Spychala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPietraszkoSpychalaP − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.344.1−7.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPietraszkoSpychalaBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 839 vs 580 / 154950.3%37.4%422 / 839 vs 580 / 1549Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpychalaPietraszko 2.63/Spychala 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Spychala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 05:20L. Pietraszko—14590A. Spychala—1611113
WJul 21 · 07:55L. Pietraszko—148119113A. Spychala—121191162
LMay 19 · 07:45L. Pietraszko—13911582A. Spychala—1111511113
LMay 12 · 04:15L. Pietraszko—114921A. Spychala—51111113
LApr 28 · 04:15L. Pietraszko—9970A. Spychala—1111113
LApr 22 · 03:05L. Pietraszko—14570A. Spychala—1611113
LApr 14 · 04:15L. Pietraszko—411651A. Spychala—11611113
LApr 8 · 12:45L. Pietraszko—811551A. Spychala—11911113
LApr 1 · 08:20L. Pietraszko—79131242A. Spychala—11111110113
LMar 18 · 05:15L. Pietraszko—10141213102A. Spychala—12161011123
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos2.201121111102L. Pietraszko1.61811613123LSep 6 · 22:55D. Jadam1.67115811113L. Pietraszko2.1091111792WSep 6 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.501156101L. Pietraszko2.5071111123WSep 6 · 21:25K. Kapik1.671091181L. Pietraszko2.1012119113LSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 18:30D. Jadam1.67105120L. Pietraszko2.101211143WSep 6 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.4491311962L. Pietraszko2.631111511113WSep 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.831111123K. Kapik1.8362100WSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 2 · 23:20J. Chmielowski1.67117911153L. Pietraszko2.10811116132
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131LSep 1 · 20:30A. Spychala2.00971261M. Olbrycht1.73111110113
Upcoming Matches
L. Pietraszko1 of 1 neutral
A. Spychala
Nothing scheduled
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