TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059413
Played Sep 2Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4118111513911––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
4118111513911––
H2H Adrian Spychala 10–16 Jakub Kuzmicz Adrian Spychala has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1700 vs Kuzmicz 1804
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 40% vs Kuzmicz 60%
Kuzmicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 50% vs Kuzmicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala +1 · Kuzmicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 2.95 / Kuzmicz 1.33
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13059413
Spychala2.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 135 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back13% 38 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 165
Kuzmicz1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 414 of 683
Up 2–0, closes it98% 168 of 172
Up 1–0, closes it81% 285 of 354
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpychala5wins
AwayKuzmicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychala66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuzmicz57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala3Kuzmicz7n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S2Spychala6Kuzmicz4n = 10Spychala took 6 of 10
S3Spychala4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S4Spychala4Kuzmicz5n = 9Kuzmicz took 5 of 9
S5Spychala3Kuzmicz1n = 4Spychala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpychalaKuzmiczS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.0−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1548 vs 640 / 111637.3%57.4%578 / 1548 vs 640 / 1116Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczSpychala 2.95/Kuzmicz 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 10:55A. Spychala—115115113J. Kuzmicz—71181182
LAug 18 · 18:50A. Spychala—4111391J. Kuzmicz—11915113
LAug 17 · 15:25A. Spychala—66110J. Kuzmicz—1111133
WAug 14 · 19:40A. Spychala—11811113J. Kuzmicz—911581
WAug 13 · 14:35A. Spychala—811129113J. Kuzmicz—119101162
LJun 27 · 06:05A. Spychala—119111182J. Kuzmicz—611136113
LJun 4 · 10:20A. Spychala—711491J. Kuzmicz—11911113
WJun 4 · 07:10A. Spychala—101111113J. Kuzmicz—127961
LMay 29 · 13:35A. Spychala—8145111J. Kuzmicz—111211133
WMay 29 · 03:55A. Spychala—711711113J. Kuzmicz—11911942
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131LSep 1 · 20:30A. Spychala2.00971261M. Olbrycht1.73111110113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 6 · 20:05L. Pietraszko3.401110961J. Kuzmicz1.3091211113WSep 6 · 19:15K. Kapik2.258911101J. Kuzmicz1.5711115123WSep 6 · 17:20D. Jadam2.3881141172J. Kuzmicz1.53117118113LSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162WSep 6 · 15:00F. Mlynarski2.38131171172J. Kuzmicz1.53158114113LSep 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz1.731013691P. Jendrzejewski2.00121111113LSep 5 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz1.5091171172F. Mlynarski2.50118119113WSep 5 · 17:20J. Kuzmicz1.5711118113D. Jadam2.25661171WSep 5 · 16:05T. Filbrandt2.251111781J. Kuzmicz1.5791311103WSep 5 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz1.22911116113A. Wos4.0011991192
Upcoming Matches
A. Spychala
Nothing scheduled
J. Kuzmicz1 of 1 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.