TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059412
Played Sep 2Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118117116––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Spychala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
711118117116––
H2H Adrian Spychala 65–64 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 64 of their 129 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Spychala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-64 in 129
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1692 vs Wisniewski 1671
Spychala
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 20% vs Wisniewski 60%
Wisniewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 40% vs Wisniewski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala -1 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Spychala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Spychala form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 1.83 / Wisniewski 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Spychala)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13059412
Spychala1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Wisniewski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 246 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back20% 75 of 385
Down 0–2, comes back4% 9 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpychala5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychala71.4%5 of 7
AwayWisniewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala7Wisniewski3n = 10Spychala took 7 of 10
S2Spychala6Wisniewski4n = 10Spychala took 6 of 10
S3Spychala3Wisniewski7n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S4Spychala4Wisniewski3n = 7Spychala took 4 of 7
S5Spychala1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpychalaWisniewskiS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.335.9+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1547 vs 1013 / 222137.4%45.6%578 / 1547 vs 1013 / 2221Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SpychalaSpychala 1.83/Wisniewski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Spychala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 12:10A. Spychala—1111113K. Wisniewski—5490
LAug 24 · 10:30A. Spychala—117491K. Wisniewski—71111113
WAug 17 · 10:55A. Spychala—113611113K. Wisniewski—61111562
LAug 7 · 09:45A. Spychala—9980K. Wisniewski—1111113
WAug 7 · 03:25A. Spychala—1111113K. Wisniewski—7770
LJul 27 · 13:00A. Spychala—11112692K. Wisniewski—971111113
WJul 24 · 07:20A. Spychala—11118113K. Wisniewski—951181
LJul 10 · 13:25A. Spychala—610111192K. Wisniewski—111295113
LJul 9 · 10:05A. Spychala—1211781K. Wisniewski—14811113
WJun 28 · 10:50A. Spychala—11119123K. Wisniewski—9411101
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131LSep 1 · 20:30A. Spychala2.00971261M. Olbrycht1.73111110113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980
Upcoming Matches
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K. Wisniewski
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