TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076463
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
2.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116411113119––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
116411113119––
H2H Jakub Zochniak 10–23 Karol Wisniewski Jakub Zochniak has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1612 vs Wisniewski 1676
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 60% vs Wisniewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 60% vs Wisniewski 40%
Zochniak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +2 · Wisniewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.55 / Wisniewski 1.42
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Wisniewski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13076463
Zochniak2.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 159 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back13% 35 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 139
Wisniewski1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 139 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak3wins
AwayWisniewski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWisniewski87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak2Wisniewski8n = 10Wisniewski took 8 of 10
S2Zochniak7Wisniewski3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S3Zochniak4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Zochniak3Wisniewski5n = 8Wisniewski took 5 of 8
S5Zochniak1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakWisniewskiZ − WBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.238.2−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1195 / 2267 vs 1012 / 222452.7%45.5%1195 / 2267 vs 1012 / 2224Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiZochniak 2.55/Wisniewski 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.6%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 08:30J. Zochniak—93111192K. Wisniewski—111156113
WAug 24 · 03:00J. Zochniak—1111910113K. Wisniewski—54111282
LAug 21 · 10:30J. Zochniak—911851K. Wisniewski—11411113
LAug 5 · 09:50J. Zochniak—811881K. Wisniewski—11511113
LAug 4 · 12:15J. Zochniak—5611111K. Wisniewski—11114133
WJul 30 · 09:00J. Zochniak—91211123K. Wisniewski—11107101
WMar 6 · 11:40J. Zochniak—1611123K. Wisniewski—147100
LMar 6 · 08:35J. Zochniak—71171162K. Wisniewski—114114113
LFeb 6 · 06:00J. Zochniak—9930K. Wisniewski—1111113
LFeb 5 · 10:55J. Zochniak—611491K. Wisniewski—11811113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980
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