TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076468
Played Sep 4Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117911911––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Poliniewicz to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
811117911911––
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 98–121 Karol Wisniewski Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 98 of their 219 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:51What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Poliniewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-121 in 219
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 23 in 219, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1743 vs Wisniewski 1660
Poliniewicz
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 100% vs Wisniewski 40%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 60% vs Wisniewski 40%
Poliniewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz +5 · Wisniewski +1
Poliniewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.60 / Wisniewski 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076468
Poliniewicz1.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 342 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it95% 153 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it85% 252 of 296
Wisniewski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 239 of 619
Down 0–1, comes back19% 72 of 381
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 223
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayWisniewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz7Wisniewski3n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S2Poliniewicz4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Poliniewicz5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Poliniewicz5Wisniewski4n = 9Poliniewicz took 5 of 9
S5Poliniewicz1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.1+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1251 / 2106 vs 1013 / 222459.4%45.6%1251 / 2106 vs 1013 / 2224Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.60/Wisniewski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz—1111113K. Wisniewski—9540
WAug 24 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz—11811113K. Wisniewski—911461
WAug 21 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz—11117113K. Wisniewski—671161
LAug 17 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz—691181K. Wisniewski—11116113
LAug 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz—812111192K. Wisniewski—111427113
WAug 6 · 10:05G. Poliniewicz—111198123K. Wisniewski—681111102
LJul 31 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz—11851172K. Wisniewski—811117113
LJul 30 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz—6711101K. Wisniewski—11119123
LJul 27 · 04:10G. Poliniewicz—1167101K. Wisniewski—81111123
WJul 23 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz—14112123K. Wisniewski—12711101
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980WSep 3 · 13:00J. Braun1.35910111172K. Wisniewski2.85111289113
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