TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071045
Played Sep 3Finished
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119118––––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
116119118––––
H2H Grzegorz Poliniewicz 98–121 Karol Wisniewski Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 98 of their 219 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:20What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Poliniewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
98-121 in 219
Wisniewski
Wrong
gap of 23 in 219, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poliniewicz 1676 vs Wisniewski 1668
Poliniewicz
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poliniewicz 0% vs Wisniewski 40%
Wisniewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poliniewicz 30% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poliniewicz -5 · Wisniewski +1
Poliniewicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoliniewicz 1.74 / Wisniewski 1.95
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13071045
Poliniewicz1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 340 of 479
Up 2–0, closes it95% 152 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it85% 250 of 294
Wisniewski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 244 of 622
Down 0–1, comes back19% 74 of 381
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePoliniewicz5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoliniewicz71.4%5 of 7
AwayWisniewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poliniewicz7Wisniewski3n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S2Poliniewicz4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Poliniewicz5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Poliniewicz5Wisniewski4n = 9Poliniewicz took 5 of 9
S5Poliniewicz1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiP − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.938.1+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoliniewiczWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1249 / 2107 vs 1015 / 222759.3%45.6%1249 / 2107 vs 1015 / 2227Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczPoliniewicz 1.74/Wisniewski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Poliniewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz—1111113K. Wisniewski—9540
WAug 24 · 06:50G. Poliniewicz—11811113K. Wisniewski—911461
WAug 21 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz—11117113K. Wisniewski—671161
LAug 17 · 14:15G. Poliniewicz—691181K. Wisniewski—11116113
LAug 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz—812111192K. Wisniewski—111427113
WAug 6 · 10:05G. Poliniewicz—111198123K. Wisniewski—681111102
LJul 31 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz—11851172K. Wisniewski—811117113
LJul 30 · 11:20G. Poliniewicz—6711101K. Wisniewski—11119123
LJul 27 · 04:10G. Poliniewicz—1167101K. Wisniewski—81111123
WJul 23 · 05:15G. Poliniewicz—14112123K. Wisniewski—12711101
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 8 · 09:20G. Poliniewicz2.101151211113A. Daniel1.6041114842LSep 7 · 13:50M. Sklensky1.4411129113G. Poliniewicz2.507101151LSep 7 · 13:00K. Strowski1.6011115113G. Poliniewicz2.15971171WSep 7 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.1011138113K. Glazowski1.657111181WSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101LSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110
K. Wisniewski10
WSep 8 · 09:00K. Glazowski1.5511713582K. Wisniewski2.205111111113WSep 7 · 14:15K. Wisniewski2.80111136113K. Wloczko1.3798111162LSep 7 · 12:35M. Sklensky1.35711911113K. Wisniewski2.9511211432LSep 7 · 11:45K. Strowski1.471113123K. Wisniewski2.45911100LSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123WSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131
Upcoming Matches
G. Poliniewicz
K. Wisniewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.