TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090303
Played Sep 7Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11811931113151210
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
11811931113151210
H2H Karol Wisniewski 123–99 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Grzegorz Poliniewicz has won 99 of their 222 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Poliniewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
123-99 in 222
Wisniewski
Correct
gap of 24 in 222, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1608 vs Poliniewicz 1686
Poliniewicz
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Poliniewicz 0%
Wisniewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Poliniewicz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -4 · Poliniewicz -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Poliniewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (0%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.33 / Poliniewicz 1.51
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Poliniewicz)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090303
Wisniewski2.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 238 of 618
Down 0–1, comes back19% 71 of 379
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 224
Poliniewicz1.51
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite72% won 341 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it95% 151 of 159
Up 1–0, closes it85% 251 of 294
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwayPoliniewicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%3 of 3
AwayPoliniewicz71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski3Poliniewicz7n = 10Poliniewicz took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski5Poliniewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Wisniewski4Poliniewicz6n = 10Poliniewicz took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski4Poliniewicz4n = 8split evenly
S5Wisniewski3Poliniewicz1n = 4Wisniewski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiPoliniewiczW − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.1−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1000 / 2200 vs 1250 / 211245.5%59.2%1000 / 2200 vs 1250 / 2112Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoliniewiczWisniewski 2.33/Poliniewicz 1.51
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Poliniewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:30K. Wisniewski—11711113G. Poliniewicz—811991
LSep 3 · 13:50K. Wisniewski—6980G. Poliniewicz—1111113
WAug 26 · 10:30K. Wisniewski—1011611113G. Poliniewicz—12911982
LAug 24 · 12:10K. Wisniewski—9540G. Poliniewicz—1111113
LAug 24 · 06:50K. Wisniewski—911461G. Poliniewicz—11811113
LAug 21 · 11:20K. Wisniewski—671161G. Poliniewicz—11117113
WAug 17 · 14:15K. Wisniewski—11116113G. Poliniewicz—691181
WAug 7 · 12:10K. Wisniewski—111427113G. Poliniewicz—812111192
LAug 6 · 10:05K. Wisniewski—681111102G. Poliniewicz—111198123
WJul 31 · 09:20K. Wisniewski—811117113G. Poliniewicz—11851172
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113
G. Poliniewicz10
WSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101LSep 7 · 08:30S. Kolasa1.4011115113G. Poliniewicz2.75381141LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113
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