TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087191
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113118511114––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Grzegorz Poliniewicz below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 69.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 0–2 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Szymon Kolasa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1901 vs Poliniewicz 1693
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 209 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 60% vs Poliniewicz 20%
Kolasa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 70% vs Poliniewicz 30%
Kolasa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa +1 · Poliniewicz -4
Poliniewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.40 / Poliniewicz 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087191
Kolasa1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Poliniewicz2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 142 of 376
Down 0–1, comes back22% 46 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolasa0wins
AwayPoliniewicz2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKolasaPoliniewiczK − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.542.5−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 528 vs 1250 / 211054.9%59.2%290 / 528 vs 1250 / 2110Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.40/Poliniewicz 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 6 · 13:00S. Kolasa—111110692G. Poliniewicz—761211113
LJul 6 · 07:20S. Kolasa—1111100G. Poliniewicz—1313123
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 04:30S. Kolasa1.331111113G. Poliniewicz3.255680LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591
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