TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082401
Played Sep 6Finished
Szymon Kolasa
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Grzegorz Poliniewicz
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSzymon Kolasa above · Grzegorz Poliniewicz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 69.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Kolasa 0–2 Grzegorz Poliniewicz Szymon Kolasa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolasa 1880 vs Poliniewicz 1686
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolasa 40% vs Poliniewicz 20%
Kolasa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolasa 50% vs Poliniewicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolasa -1 · Poliniewicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kolasa) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poliniewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolasa 1.33 / Poliniewicz 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082401
Kolasa1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 62 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it92% 47 of 51
Poliniewicz3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 140 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back22% 45 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back7% 9 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolasa0wins
AwayPoliniewicz2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPoliniewicz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKolasaPoliniewiczK − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.542.5−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolasaPoliniewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime283 / 517 vs 1248 / 210454.7%59.3%283 / 517 vs 1248 / 2104Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaKolasa 1.33/Poliniewicz 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 6 · 13:00S. Kolasa—111110692G. Poliniewicz—761211113
LJul 6 · 07:20S. Kolasa—1111100G. Poliniewicz—1313123
S. Kolasa10
WSep 7 · 06:55S. Kolasa2.00131111113M. Jadczyk1.73156591LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113
G. Poliniewicz10
LSep 7 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.141111510113G. Poliniewicz5.0079111282LSep 7 · 04:55P. David1.081111113G. Poliniewicz7.003690LSep 7 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.281211133G. Poliniewicz3.50107110LSep 6 · 08:05J. Braun1.36111111113G. Poliniewicz3.00139741WSep 6 · 07:20M. Nowalinski1.508138101G. Poliniewicz2.50111111123WSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113LSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111WSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113LSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591LSep 4 · 12:10G. Poliniewicz2.357660S. Dosz1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Kolasa
G. Poliniewicz1 of 7 neutral
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