TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090414
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214119115119––
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:48 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeKarol Wisniewski to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1214119115119––
H2H Artur Sobel 4–4 Karol Wisniewski Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Wisniewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1546 vs Wisniewski 1615
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 40% vs Wisniewski 20%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 50% vs Wisniewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +2 · Wisniewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Wisniewski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 2.60 / Wisniewski 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Wisniewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090414
Sobel2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Wisniewski1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 140 of 236
Up 2–0, closes it90% 66 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it80% 103 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSobel4wins
AwayWisniewski4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel60%3 of 5
AwayWisniewski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel5Wisniewski3n = 8Sobel took 5 of 8
S2Sobel2Wisniewski6n = 8Wisniewski took 6 of 8
S3Sobel4Wisniewski4n = 8split evenly
S4Sobel6Wisniewski2n = 8Sobel took 6 of 8
S5Sobel1Wisniewski2n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSobelWisniewskiS − WBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match39.641.2−1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime635 / 1186 vs 1000 / 219953.5%45.5%635 / 1186 vs 1000 / 2199Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WisniewskiSobel 2.60/Wisniewski 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Wisniewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel—121111113K. Wisniewski—149591
LAug 31 · 04:50A. Sobel—63121142K. Wisniewski—1111105113
LAug 18 · 14:20A. Sobel—117771K. Wisniewski—81111113
WAug 17 · 04:00A. Sobel—119911113K. Wisniewski—81111252
WAug 10 · 04:00A. Sobel—13511113K. Wisniewski—1111871
LAug 4 · 11:00A. Sobel—1021171K. Wisniewski—12119113
WJul 6 · 06:25A. Sobel—11125113K. Wisniewski—9101151
LJul 6 · 04:00A. Sobel—116101162K. Wisniewski—911129113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942LSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980WSep 3 · 13:00J. Braun1.35910111172K. Wisniewski2.85111289113
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