TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057627
Played Sep 1Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191191012115––
Artur Sobel
Away
1.71
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1191191012115––
H2H Szymon Brud 7–12 Artur Sobel Szymon Brud has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-12 in 19
Sobel
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1470 vs Sobel 1586
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 20% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 30% vs Sobel 70%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud -3 · Sobel +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 2.00 / Sobel 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Sobel)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13057627
Brud2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Sobel1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 184 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud4wins
AwaySobel6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud40%2 of 5
AwaySobel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud5Sobel5n = 10split evenly
S2Brud4Sobel6n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Brud2Sobel8n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Brud5Sobel2n = 7Brud took 5 of 7
S5Brud2Sobel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudSobelB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.20.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1200 vs 639 / 119050.8%53.7%610 / 1200 vs 639 / 1190Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelBrud 2.00/Sobel 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 13:30S. Brud—11512111A. Sobel—41114133
LAug 18 · 07:40S. Brud—12641152A. Sobel—1011118113
LAug 17 · 11:50S. Brud—139611102A. Sobel—1111117123
LAug 17 · 05:15S. Brud—71260A. Sobel—1114113
LAug 11 · 14:20S. Brud—98130A. Sobel—1111153
WAug 11 · 05:35S. Brud—1211113A. Sobel—10330
LAug 10 · 13:05S. Brud—711991A. Sobel—11511113
WAug 10 · 06:50S. Brud—411711113A. Sobel—11711772
WApr 27 · 18:55S. Brud—9111112113A. Sobel—111321072
WApr 27 · 12:15S. Brud—111110113A. Sobel—991241
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942
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