TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088329
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1179111189111311
Artur Sobel
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1179111189111311
H2H Jakub Zochniak 35–34 Artur Sobel Artur Sobel has won 34 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-34 in 69
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1613 vs Sobel 1546
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 20% vs Sobel 60%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 40% vs Sobel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak +1 · Sobel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zochniak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 1.72 / Sobel 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Zochniak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13088329
Zochniak1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 330 of 501
Up 2–0, closes it94% 151 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it78% 239 of 308
Sobel2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak6wins
AwaySobel4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak57.1%4 of 7
AwaySobel33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak7Sobel3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S2Zochniak3Sobel7n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S3Zochniak7Sobel3n = 10Zochniak took 7 of 10
S4Zochniak4Sobel6n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S5Zochniak4Sobel3n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakSobelZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match49.146.4+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime1188 / 2258 vs 635 / 118652.6%53.5%1188 / 2258 vs 635 / 1186Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakZochniak 1.72/Sobel 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.6%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak—119119133A. Sobel—711811112
LSep 1 · 07:15J. Zochniak—1410117102A. Sobel—1212711123
WAug 31 · 05:35J. Zochniak—91115123A. Sobel—11813101
WAug 25 · 03:00J. Zochniak—11119113A. Sobel—661171
WAug 18 · 03:40J. Zochniak—1181212123A. Sobel—9111014102
LAug 11 · 10:35J. Zochniak—111111782A. Sobel—313911113
LAug 11 · 04:50J. Zochniak—912991A. Sobel—111011113
WAug 10 · 10:35J. Zochniak—9111111153A. Sobel—111356132
LAug 4 · 09:50J. Zochniak—126101172A. Sobel—1011123113
WJun 30 · 11:00J. Zochniak—118119133A. Sobel—911911112
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562LSep 4 · 13:50J. Zochniak3.25114481G. Poliniewicz1.2761111113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942LSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251
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