TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057825
Played Sep 1Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
2111113115119114
Szymon Brud
Away
1.97
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
2111113115119114
H2H Artur Sobel 12–8 Szymon Brud Szymon Brud has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Sobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Sobel
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1570 vs Brud 1486
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Brud 40%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 70% vs Brud 40%
Sobel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Brud +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.71 / Brud 1.97
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sobel)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13057825
Sobel1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 184 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 175
Brud1.97
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel6wins
AwayBrud4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel60%3 of 5
AwayBrud40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel5Brud5n = 10split evenly
S2Sobel6Brud4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Sobel8Brud2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Sobel2Brud5n = 7Brud took 5 of 7
S5Sobel2Brud2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelBrudS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.2+0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1189 vs 611 / 120153.7%50.9%638 / 1189 vs 611 / 1201Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.71/Brud 1.97
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 08:30A. Sobel—991251S. Brud—111110113
WAug 18 · 13:30A. Sobel—41114133S. Brud—11512111
WAug 18 · 07:40A. Sobel—1011118113S. Brud—12641152
WAug 17 · 11:50A. Sobel—1111117123S. Brud—139611102
WAug 17 · 05:15A. Sobel—1114113S. Brud—71260
WAug 11 · 14:20A. Sobel—1111153S. Brud—98130
LAug 11 · 05:35A. Sobel—10330S. Brud—1211113
WAug 10 · 13:05A. Sobel—11511113S. Brud—711991
LAug 10 · 06:50A. Sobel—11711772S. Brud—411711113
LApr 27 · 18:55A. Sobel—111321072S. Brud—9111112113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133LSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251
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