TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090420
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115119––––
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:50 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
115115119––––
H2H Szymon Brud 2–1 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Brud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1458 vs Zwolinski 1255
Brud
Correct
both rated, 204 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 60% vs Zwolinski 40%
Brud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 50% vs Zwolinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud +1 · Zwolinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Brud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.40 / Zwolinski 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Brud)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13090420
Brud1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 184 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Zwolinski2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrud2wins
AwayZwolinski1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderBrud leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud1Zwolinski2n = 3Zwolinski took 2 of 3
S2Brud2Zwolinski1n = 3Brud took 2 of 3
S3Brud2Zwolinski1n = 3Brud took 2 of 3
S4Brud0Zwolinski3n = 3Zwolinski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrudZwolinskiB − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.345.3−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 1195 vs 121 / 33751.4%35.9%614 / 1195 vs 121 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.40/Zwolinski 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud—811139113M. Zwolinski—117111162
LJan 6 · 01:10S. Brud—412921M. Zwolinski—111011113
WJan 5 · 22:45S. Brud—119146113M. Zwolinski—511121182
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113WSep 2 · 08:30S. Brud1.8561111113M. Minda1.85119781LSep 2 · 06:50S. Brud2.104111191P. Blocho1.6511137113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.80121011482M. Zwolinski1.861012511113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101LSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113WSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113LSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162
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