TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081958
Played Sep 5Finished
Waclaw Suchecki
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101012115411811
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWaclaw Suchecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
12101012115411811
H2H Waclaw Suchecki 6–3 Mariusz Zwolinski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Suchecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Suchecki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Suchecki 1202 vs Zwolinski 1255
Zwolinski
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Suchecki 40% vs Zwolinski 60%
Zwolinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Suchecki 30% vs Zwolinski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Suchecki +2 · Zwolinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zwolinski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Suchecki form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSuchecki 1.80 / Zwolinski 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zwolinski)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081958
Suchecki1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 22 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Zwolinski1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 36 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSuchecki6wins
AwayZwolinski3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSuchecki leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSuchecki85.7%6 of 7
AwayZwolinskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Suchecki7Zwolinski2n = 9Suchecki took 7 of 9
S2Suchecki4Zwolinski5n = 9Zwolinski took 5 of 9
S3Suchecki5Zwolinski4n = 9Suchecki took 5 of 9
S4Suchecki2Zwolinski5n = 7Zwolinski took 5 of 7
S5Suchecki3Zwolinski1n = 4Suchecki took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSucheckiZwolinskiS − ZBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.337.4+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSucheckiZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 301 vs 120 / 33638.2%35.7%115 / 301 vs 120 / 336Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZwolinskiSuchecki 1.80/Zwolinski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zwolinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki—7690M. Zwolinski—1111113
WMar 28 · 14:30W. Suchecki—117112133M. Zwolinski—711711112
WMar 7 · 09:35W. Suchecki—1111113M. Zwolinski—9200
WMar 29 · 14:30W. Suchecki—1161210123M. Zwolinski—9111012102
WMar 29 · 06:15W. Suchecki—1112105113M. Zwolinski—710121162
LMar 1 · 15:20W. Suchecki—11611472M. Zwolinski—311811113
WMar 1 · 08:20W. Suchecki—11911113M. Zwolinski—911731
WJan 25 · 12:50W. Suchecki—11113113M. Zwolinski—561191
LJan 25 · 05:10W. Suchecki—612831M. Zwolinski—111011113
W. Suchecki10
LSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 13:05T. Piotrowski1.481111113W. Suchecki2.427980WSep 5 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.601111113W. Iwasyszyn1.417490WSep 5 · 09:50A. Szoltysek1.5149100W. Suchecki2.401111123LSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133LSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113LSep 5 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.5011620T. Piotrowski1.461311113LSep 5 · 04:10W. Suchecki2.60311671W. Iwasyszyn1.4111811113LSep 5 · 03:00W. Suchecki2.353890A. Szoltysek1.531111113LAug 23 · 14:20B. Wisniewski1.911211113W. Suchecki1.8010390
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101LSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113WSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051
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