TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081545
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslaw Rolak
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161113114114––
Mariusz Zwolinski
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:00 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Zwolinski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
1161113114114––
H2H Jaroslaw Rolak 2–3 Mariusz Zwolinski Jaroslaw Rolak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Zwolinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rolak 1229 vs Zwolinski 1282
Zwolinski
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rolak 40% vs Zwolinski 80%
Zwolinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rolak 20% vs Zwolinski 50%
Zwolinski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rolak +2 · Zwolinski +4
Zwolinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zwolinski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zwolinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRolak 1.90 / Zwolinski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zwolinski)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13081545
Rolak1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 198 of 513
Down 0–1, comes back19% 52 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Zwolinski1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 13 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRolak2wins
AwayZwolinski3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderZwolinski leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRolak50%2 of 4
AwayZwolinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rolak4Zwolinski1n = 5Rolak took 4 of 5
S2Rolak2Zwolinski3n = 5Zwolinski took 3 of 5
S3Rolak1Zwolinski4n = 5Zwolinski took 4 of 5
S4Rolak2Zwolinski3n = 5Zwolinski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricRolakZwolinskiR − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.845.2−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRolakZwolinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime662 / 1444 vs 120 / 33445.8%35.9%662 / 1444 vs 120 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZwolinskiRolak 1.90/Zwolinski 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zwolinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rolak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 5 · 06:05J. Rolak—1291051M. Zwolinski—101112113
WJul 25 · 10:10J. Rolak—13125113M. Zwolinski—11101191
WJul 25 · 05:15J. Rolak—115811113M. Zwolinski—91111582
LJul 25 · 03:00J. Rolak—1111712122M. Zwolinski—771114143
LJan 4 · 10:50J. Rolak—761371M. Zwolinski—111111113
J. Rolak10
WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051LSep 5 · 04:55T. Piotrowski1.571111113J. Rolak2.213780LSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90781171LSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.80121011482M. Zwolinski1.861012511113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101WSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113WSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski1.84101112113J. Rolak1.831291051
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