TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080902
Played Sep 5Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
1.84
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121191210115––
Jaroslaw Rolak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Zwolinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
10121191210115––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 3–3 Jaroslaw Rolak Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:48What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rolak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1255 vs Rolak 1236
Zwolinski
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 20% vs Rolak 0%
Zwolinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 40% vs Rolak 10%
Zwolinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski +1 · Rolak -5
Rolak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zwolinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rolak form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 1.84 / Rolak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zwolinski)+4.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13080902
Zwolinski1.84
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Rolak1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 146 of 306
Up 2–0, closes it88% 72 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it68% 118 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZwolinski3wins
AwayRolak3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayRolak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski1Rolak5n = 6Rolak took 5 of 6
S2Zwolinski4Rolak2n = 6Zwolinski took 4 of 6
S3Zwolinski4Rolak2n = 6Zwolinski took 4 of 6
S4Zwolinski3Rolak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricZwolinskiRolakZ − RBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match42.242.20.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiRolakBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 337 vs 657 / 143735.9%45.7%121 / 337 vs 657 / 1437Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZwolinskiZwolinski 1.84/Rolak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zwolinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zwolinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 5 · 09:25M. Zwolinski—613441J. Rolak—111111113
WSep 5 · 06:05M. Zwolinski—101112113J. Rolak—1291051
LJul 25 · 10:10M. Zwolinski—11101191J. Rolak—13125113
LJul 25 · 05:15M. Zwolinski—91111582J. Rolak—115811113
WJul 25 · 03:00M. Zwolinski—771114143J. Rolak—1111712122
WJan 4 · 10:50M. Zwolinski—111111113J. Rolak—761371
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.80121011482M. Zwolinski1.861012511113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101LSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113WSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113
J. Rolak10
WSep 5 · 13:55J. Rolak1.591111113W. Suchecki2.176750LSep 5 · 12:40J. Rolak1.80961181A. Szoltysek1.9011118113LSep 5 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6011115882W. Iwasyszyn2.20951111113WSep 5 · 10:10T. Piotrowski1.60119631J. Rolak2.2071111113WSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 08:35W. Suchecki2.2022110J. Rolak1.601111133WSep 5 · 07:20J. Rolak1.8011119113A. Szoltysek1.85471181LSep 5 · 04:55T. Piotrowski1.571111113J. Rolak2.213780LSep 5 · 03:25W. Iwasyszyn1.8011117113J. Rolak1.90781171LSep 3 · 23:20M. Trela2.0511911113J. Rolak1.68611471
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