TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13061070
Played Sep 2Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117113––––
Rafal Stapor
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
119117113––––
H2H Szymon Brud 1–0 Rafal Stapor Rafal Stapor has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:33What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stapor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brud 1484 vs Stapor 1480
Brud
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 40% vs Stapor 60%
Stapor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 50% vs Stapor 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud +2 · Stapor +3
Stapor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stapor) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.90 / Stapor 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stapor)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13061070
Brud1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 53 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back24% 21 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Stapor1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 420 of 665
Up 2–0, closes it96% 207 of 216
Up 1–0, closes it82% 323 of 394
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrud1wins
AwayStapor0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBrud leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrudStaporB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match48.046.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudStaporBasisWin rate · lifetime616 / 1212 vs 628 / 110650.8%56.8%616 / 1212 vs 628 / 1106Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaporBrud 1.90/Stapor 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stapor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 15:00S. Brud—711118113R. Stapor—11871192
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113WSep 2 · 08:30S. Brud1.8561111113M. Minda1.85119781
R. Stapor10
WSep 3 · 13:55A. Mugowski2.5094100R. Stapor1.471111123LSep 3 · 13:05M. Kolek1.5012115123R. Stapor2.4010911101LSep 3 · 12:15R. Stapor2.156118101J. Witkowski1.6011711123LSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 3 · 09:50A. Lilien1.65613481R. Stapor2.07111111113LSep 3 · 08:35A. Mugowski2.1511511113R. Stapor1.60411961WSep 3 · 07:20R. Stapor1.3891115113S. Wnek2.751151381WSep 3 · 06:05B. Sulkowski1.8094100R. Stapor1.861111123WSep 3 · 04:55K. Klocek2.006101161R. Stapor1.7011125113LSep 3 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski3.60111111113R. Stapor1.26713891
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