TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090704
Played Sep 7Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116114711114
Karol Sulkowski
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:17 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
611116114711114
H2H Szymon Brud 11–2 Karol Sulkowski Karol Sulkowski has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Brud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-2 in 13
Brud
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1485 vs Sulkowski 1320
Brud
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 80% vs Sulkowski 60%
Brud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 80% vs Sulkowski 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud +4 · Sulkowski +1
Brud
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 1.50 / Sulkowski 2.35
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Brud)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13090704
Brud1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 184 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Sulkowski2.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 158 of 432
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 256
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud8wins
AwaySulkowski2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud100%7 of 7
AwaySulkowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud7Sulkowski3n = 10Brud took 7 of 10
S2Brud6Sulkowski4n = 10Brud took 6 of 10
S3Brud7Sulkowski3n = 10Brud took 7 of 10
S4Brud1Sulkowski4n = 5Sulkowski took 4 of 5
S5Brud4Sulkowski0n = 4Brud took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudSulkowskiB − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.7+3.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1198 vs 625 / 126051.5%49.6%617 / 1198 vs 625 / 1260Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudBrud 1.50/Sulkowski 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 12 · 17:20S. Brud—611711113K. Sulkowski—11911692
LMay 6 · 10:35S. Brud—97200K. Sulkowski—1111223
WMay 6 · 06:30S. Brud—119118113K. Sulkowski—31191162
WApr 23 · 15:00S. Brud—118118113K. Sulkowski—71191192
WApr 21 · 17:45S. Brud—1112113K. Sulkowski—81050
WApr 15 · 19:20S. Brud—1111113K. Sulkowski—9780
LMar 17 · 21:30S. Brud—1111691K. Sulkowski—13811113
WMar 17 · 24:20S. Brud—1181110113K. Sulkowski—91181262
WMar 16 · 22:00S. Brud—1114113K. Sulkowski—91280
WFeb 19 · 20:20S. Brud—1111113K. Sulkowski—8980
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113WSep 2 · 08:30S. Brud1.8561111113M. Minda1.85119781
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski2.009912101K. Sulkowski1.70111110123LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101
Upcoming Matches
S. Brud
K. Sulkowski1 of 1 neutral
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