TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086897
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Jablonski
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115711611119511
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
115711611119511
H2H Filip Jablonski 1–5 Karol Sulkowski Filip Jablonski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1174 vs Sulkowski 1280
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 10% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski -2 · Sulkowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 1.90 / Sulkowski 1.75
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13086897
Jablonski1.90
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Sulkowski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 220 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 166 of 207
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJablonski1wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jablonski2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S2Jablonski0Sulkowski6n = 6Sulkowski took 6 of 6
S3Jablonski3Sulkowski3n = 6split evenly
S4Jablonski0Sulkowski4n = 4Sulkowski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricJablonskiSulkowskiJ − SBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match32.839.7−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 347 vs 619 / 125234.3%49.4%119 / 347 vs 619 / 1252Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiJablonski 1.90/Sulkowski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 6 · 07:40F. Jablonski—9911101K. Sulkowski—11118123
WMay 9 · 05:40F. Jablonski—118116113K. Sulkowski—81131162
LApr 4 · 03:55F. Jablonski—14780K. Sulkowski—1611113
LMar 29 · 06:00F. Jablonski—127441K. Sulkowski—101111113
LFeb 1 · 06:15F. Jablonski—7760K. Sulkowski—1111113
LJan 18 · 04:45F. Jablonski—791271K. Sulkowski—111110113
F. Jablonski10
LSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 09:50F. Jablonski2.80711381M. Sinicki1.3611511113LSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101WSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113LSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski2.60412431M. Sinicki1.41111011113LSep 6 · 04:30F. Jablonski2.20131012792B. Wisniewski1.5711121011113LSep 6 · 03:50K. Golaszewski1.7311411113F. Jablonski2.00711781LAug 15 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.4111116113F. Jablonski2.60981161
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123LSep 6 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.5712116662B. Wisniewski2.251081111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Jablonski
Nothing scheduled
K. Sulkowski
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