TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090297
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Home
2.34
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197119111210611
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1197119111210611
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 9–10 Karol Sulkowski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Sulkowski beat Wisniewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1258 vs Sulkowski 1310
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Sulkowski 80%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 70% vs Sulkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Sulkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.34 / Sulkowski 1.51
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13090297
Wisniewski2.34
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 183 of 464
Down 0–1, comes back15% 39 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 139
Sulkowski1.51
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 225 of 413
Up 2–0, closes it97% 97 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it80% 170 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%4 of 4
AwaySulkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski2Sulkowski6n = 8Sulkowski took 6 of 8
S5Wisniewski4Sulkowski1n = 5Wisniewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiW − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.239.5−0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime898 / 1874 vs 623 / 125747.9%49.6%898 / 1874 vs 623 / 1257Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiWisniewski 2.34/Sulkowski 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:30B. Wisniewski—58100K. Sulkowski—1111123
WSep 6 · 05:15B. Wisniewski—1081111113K. Sulkowski—12116662
WAug 27 · 15:00B. Wisniewski—111178113K. Sulkowski—58111162
LAug 23 · 11:00B. Wisniewski—81080K. Sulkowski—1112113
WAug 9 · 11:25B. Wisniewski—118116113K. Sulkowski—61161152
WAug 9 · 04:10B. Wisniewski—111155113K. Sulkowski—95111162
LJun 18 · 15:00B. Wisniewski—811671K. Sulkowski—11711113
LJun 16 · 20:05B. Wisniewski—71111782K. Sulkowski—118911113
LJun 1 · 11:45B. Wisniewski—891191K. Sulkowski—11116113
WMay 29 · 20:40B. Wisniewski—11811113K. Sulkowski—711891
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.68111211113B. Wisniewski2.05714631WSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110WSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113LSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111WSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113WSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123WSep 6 · 07:20M. Sinicki1.3388111192B. Wisniewski2.95111198113
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123LSep 6 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.5712116662B. Wisniewski2.251081111113
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