TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085958
Played Sep 6Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210118611611611
Bartlomiej Wisniewski
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:49 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
1210118611611611
H2H Karol Sulkowski 9–8 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1289 vs Wisniewski 1226
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 80% vs Wisniewski 60%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Wisniewski 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Wisniewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.57 / Wisniewski 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sulkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13085958
Sulkowski1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 220 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 166 of 207
Wisniewski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 182 of 461
Down 0–1, comes back15% 38 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayWisniewski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayWisniewski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski6Wisniewski4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulkowski6Wisniewski3n = 9Sulkowski took 6 of 9
S5Sulkowski2Wisniewski3n = 5Wisniewski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiWisniewskiS − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.0−0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1247 vs 897 / 187649.5%47.8%617 / 1247 vs 897 / 1876Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.57/Wisniewski 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 15:00K. Sulkowski—58111162B. Wisniewski—111178113
WAug 23 · 11:00K. Sulkowski—1112113B. Wisniewski—81080
LAug 9 · 11:25K. Sulkowski—61161152B. Wisniewski—118116113
LAug 9 · 04:10K. Sulkowski—95111162B. Wisniewski—111155113
WJun 18 · 15:00K. Sulkowski—11711113B. Wisniewski—811671
WJun 16 · 20:05K. Sulkowski—118911113B. Wisniewski—71111782
WJun 1 · 11:45K. Sulkowski—11116113B. Wisniewski—891191
LMay 29 · 20:40K. Sulkowski—711891B. Wisniewski—11811113
WMay 17 · 07:45K. Sulkowski—116127113B. Wisniewski—911101172
LMay 10 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—1148111B. Wisniewski—91111133
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123
B. Wisniewski10
WSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110WSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 11:25T. Piotrowski1.47115981B. Wisniewski2.4071111113LSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111WSep 6 · 09:00K. Golaszewski1.8381111632B. Wisniewski1.87115711113WSep 6 · 08:10K. Golaszewski2.261189101B. Wisniewski1.5541111123WSep 6 · 07:20M. Sinicki1.3388111192B. Wisniewski2.95111198113
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