TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086235
Played Sep 6Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191198111210––
Filip Jablonski
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:09 and never touched — 76.1% is still 76.1%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
76.1%
76.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
1191198111210––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 4–1 Filip Jablonski Filip Jablonski has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1253 vs Jablonski 1192
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 20% vs Jablonski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Jablonski 20%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -4 · Jablonski +1
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.53 / Jablonski 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sulkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13086235
Sulkowski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 220 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it98% 93 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it80% 166 of 207
Jablonski2.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSulkowski4wins
AwayJablonski1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSulkowski leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%3 of 3
AwayJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Jablonski2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
S2Sulkowski5Jablonski0n = 5Sulkowski took 5 of 5
S3Sulkowski3Jablonski2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
S4Sulkowski3Jablonski0n = 3Sulkowski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSulkowskiJablonskiS − JBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.231.6+7.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1250 vs 120 / 34849.4%34.5%617 / 1250 vs 120 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.53/Jablonski 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 9 · 05:40K. Sulkowski—81131162F. Jablonski—118116113
WApr 4 · 03:55K. Sulkowski—1611113F. Jablonski—14780
WMar 29 · 06:00K. Sulkowski—101111113F. Jablonski—127441
WFeb 1 · 06:15K. Sulkowski—1111113F. Jablonski—7760
WJan 18 · 04:45K. Sulkowski—111110113F. Jablonski—791271
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113LSep 6 · 06:30K. Sulkowski1.51104100K. Golaszewski2.331211123LSep 6 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.5712116662B. Wisniewski2.251081111113
F. Jablonski10
LSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113LSep 6 · 09:50F. Jablonski2.80711381M. Sinicki1.3611511113WSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113LSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski2.60412431M. Sinicki1.41111011113LSep 6 · 04:30F. Jablonski2.20131012792B. Wisniewski1.5711121011113LSep 6 · 03:50K. Golaszewski1.7311411113F. Jablonski2.00711781LAug 15 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.4111116113F. Jablonski2.60981161
Upcoming Matches
K. Sulkowski
F. Jablonski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.