TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086524
Played Sep 6Finished
Filip Jablonski
Home
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115311811––
Maciej Sinicki
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMaciej Sinicki to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
711115311811––
H2H Filip Jablonski 7–10 Maciej Sinicki Filip Jablonski has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Sinicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Sinicki
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1182 vs Sinicki 1310
Sinicki
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 20% vs Sinicki 60%
Sinicki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 10% vs Sinicki 50%
Sinicki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski -1 · Sinicki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sinicki) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sinicki form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 2.80 / Sinicki 1.36
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Sinicki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13086524
Jablonski2.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Sinicki1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it65% 39 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJablonski3wins
AwaySinicki7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSinicki leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJablonski100%3 of 3
AwaySinicki100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jablonski3Sinicki7n = 10Sinicki took 7 of 10
S2Jablonski2Sinicki8n = 10Sinicki took 8 of 10
S3Jablonski5Sinicki5n = 10split evenly
S4Jablonski5Sinicki2n = 7Jablonski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJablonskiSinickiJ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.539.0−8.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiSinickiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 348 vs 325 / 75534.5%43.1%120 / 348 vs 325 / 755Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiJablonski 2.80/Sinicki 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sinicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski—412431M. Sinicki—111011113
LJun 14 · 13:05F. Jablonski—3470M. Sinicki—1111113
WMay 9 · 12:40F. Jablonski—111211113M. Sinicki—414761
LApr 26 · 12:15F. Jablonski—661161M. Sinicki—11118113
LNov 2 · 14:05F. Jablonski—62131572M. Sinicki—11111113113
LOct 26 · 05:10F. Jablonski—11550M. Sinicki—1311113
LOct 19 · 13:30F. Jablonski—6740M. Sinicki—1111113
LOct 5 · 10:35F. Jablonski—85111142M. Sinicki—111187113
WSep 14 · 12:15F. Jablonski—11114133M. Sinicki—9511111
WSep 7 · 11:00F. Jablonski—11211113M. Sinicki—911851
F. Jablonski10
LSep 6 · 14:20F. Jablonski1.95116871B. Wisniewski1.7631111113LSep 6 · 12:40T. Piotrowski1.311111113F. Jablonski3.208930LSep 6 · 11:50K. Golaszewski1.801211125113F. Jablonski1.90108141162LSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113LSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101WSep 6 · 06:55T. Piotrowski1.421111931F. Jablonski2.6013511113LSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski2.60412431M. Sinicki1.41111011113LSep 6 · 04:30F. Jablonski2.20131012792B. Wisniewski1.5711121011113LSep 6 · 03:50K. Golaszewski1.7311411113F. Jablonski2.00711781LAug 15 · 14:40B. Wisniewski1.4111116113F. Jablonski2.60981161
M. Sinicki10
LSep 6 · 13:55T. Piotrowski1.391111113M. Sinicki2.702560LSep 6 · 13:05K. Golaszewski2.4011124123M. Sinicki1.5081011101LSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 10:35M. Sinicki1.3511118133B. Wisniewski2.907711111LSep 6 · 08:35T. Piotrowski1.401111113M. Sinicki2.656640LSep 6 · 07:20M. Sinicki1.3388111192B. Wisniewski2.95111198113WSep 6 · 06:05F. Jablonski2.60412431M. Sinicki1.41111011113WSep 6 · 04:55K. Golaszewski2.25611961M. Sinicki1.5511711113WSep 6 · 03:25K. Sulkowski1.80114571M. Sinicki1.9071111113LAug 30 · 13:55A. Eliasz2.20117911113M. Sinicki1.5791111982
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