TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090471
Played Sep 7Finished
Mariusz Zwolinski
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91191112101012––
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:57 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
91191112101012––
H2H Mariusz Zwolinski 2–5 Karol Sulkowski Mariusz Zwolinski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zwolinski 1226 vs Sulkowski 1314
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zwolinski 20% vs Sulkowski 60%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zwolinski 40% vs Sulkowski 70%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zwolinski -4 · Sulkowski -1
Zwolinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zwolinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZwolinski 2.00 / Sulkowski 1.70
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sulkowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13090471
Zwolinski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 41 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Sulkowski1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 225 of 413
Up 2–0, closes it97% 97 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it80% 170 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeZwolinski2wins
AwaySulkowski5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZwolinski50%2 of 4
AwaySulkowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zwolinski4Sulkowski3n = 7Zwolinski took 4 of 7
S2Zwolinski1Sulkowski6n = 7Sulkowski took 6 of 7
S3Zwolinski4Sulkowski3n = 7Zwolinski took 4 of 7
S4Zwolinski2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricZwolinskiSulkowskiZ − SBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.939.6−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZwolinskiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 338 vs 625 / 126135.5%49.6%120 / 338 vs 625 / 1261Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiZwolinski 2.00/Sulkowski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 7 · 07:20M. Zwolinski—9912101K. Sulkowski—111110123
WAug 19 · 05:40M. Zwolinski—1111113K. Sulkowski—8890
WAug 5 · 06:55M. Zwolinski—118711113K. Sulkowski—41111862
LJul 22 · 06:30M. Zwolinski—77111162K. Sulkowski—111178113
LJul 22 · 04:10M. Zwolinski—117951K. Sulkowski—81111113
LMay 10 · 10:35M. Zwolinski—1061171K. Sulkowski—12116113
LFeb 1 · 07:30M. Zwolinski—119881K. Sulkowski—61111113
M. Zwolinski10
LSep 7 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.8513114133M. Zwolinski1.8511911111LSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590LSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132LSep 5 · 14:40T. Piotrowski1.411111133M. Zwolinski2.6067110WSep 5 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.1581112113W. Iwasyszyn1.601161081WSep 5 · 12:15W. Suchecki1.80121011482M. Zwolinski1.861012511113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Szoltysek1.55111110123M. Zwolinski2.262812101LSep 5 · 09:25J. Rolak1.90111111113M. Zwolinski1.75613441WSep 5 · 07:40W. Iwasyszyn1.8561151192M. Zwolinski1.80119118113WSep 5 · 06:55W. Suchecki1.747690M. Zwolinski1.951111113
K. Sulkowski10
LSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142LSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:30B. Wisniewski2.3411791262K. Sulkowski1.519111110113LSep 7 · 03:00A. Szoltysek2.0512117113K. Sulkowski1.681021181WSep 6 · 14:40K. Golaszewski2.35571181K. Sulkowski1.5011118113WSep 6 · 13:30K. Sulkowski1.601111123B. Wisniewski2.2058100WSep 6 · 12:15M. Sinicki1.856880K. Sulkowski1.851111113WSep 6 · 11:00F. Jablonski1.9011761152K. Sulkowski1.75511119113WSep 6 · 09:25T. Piotrowski2.1561090K. Sulkowski1.601112113WSep 6 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.5311118123F. Jablonski2.359911101
Upcoming Matches
M. Zwolinski
K. Sulkowski1 of 1 neutral
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