TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090410
Played Sep 7Finished
Bartosz Czerwinski
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511711511––
Szymon Brud
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
116511711511––
H2H Bartosz Czerwinski 1–3 Szymon Brud Bartosz Czerwinski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Brud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Brud
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Czerwinski 1457 vs Brud 1485
Brud
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Czerwinski 100% vs Brud 60%
Czerwinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Czerwinski 80% vs Brud 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Czerwinski +5 · Brud +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCzerwinski 1.86 / Brud 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brud)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13090410
Czerwinski1.86
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Brud1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 184 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeCzerwinski1wins
AwayBrud3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBrud leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCzerwinski33.3%1 of 3
AwayBrudn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Czerwinski3Brud1n = 4Czerwinski took 3 of 4
S2Czerwinski1Brud3n = 4Brud took 3 of 4
S3Czerwinski2Brud2n = 4split evenly
S4Czerwinski0Brud4n = 4Brud took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricCzerwinskiBrudC − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.544.2−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCzerwinskiBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 1062 vs 617 / 119846.5%51.5%494 / 1062 vs 617 / 1198Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudCzerwinski 1.86/Brud 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski—115751S. Brud—61111113
LSep 1 · 12:15B. Czerwinski—611131062S. Brud—1191112113
LOct 19 · 19:05B. Czerwinski—119751S. Brud—8111193
WOct 12 · 20:15B. Czerwinski—1110119113S. Brud—91291142
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123WSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113LSep 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.7011711113B. Czerwinski2.00711561WSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113WSep 2 · 08:30S. Brud1.8561111113M. Minda1.85119781
Upcoming Matches
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S. Brud
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