TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065373
Played Sep 3Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711115116––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
117711115116––
H2H Maciej Kolek 10–7 Bartosz Czerwinski Bartosz Czerwinski has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Kolek
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1600 vs Czerwinski 1421
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Czerwinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 40% vs Czerwinski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +2 · Czerwinski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.70 / Czerwinski 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kolek)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13065373
Kolek1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 281 of 469
Up 2–0, closes it95% 106 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 212 of 261
Czerwinski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 27 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek6wins
AwayCzerwinski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek66.7%4 of 6
AwayCzerwinski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek6Czerwinski4n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S2Kolek5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Kolek4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S4Kolek5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S5Kolek3Czerwinski1n = 4Kolek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekCzerwinskiK − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.542.3+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime669 / 1353 vs 498 / 107249.5%46.5%669 / 1353 vs 498 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.70/Czerwinski 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 29 · 08:30M. Kolek—11116133B. Czerwinski—8911111
LJun 29 · 06:00M. Kolek—11591172B. Czerwinski—911118113
WJun 25 · 06:25M. Kolek—81111113B. Czerwinski—116951
LJun 25 · 04:00M. Kolek—117651B. Czerwinski—71111113
WJun 19 · 06:50M. Kolek—119811113B. Czerwinski—71111882
LJun 19 · 04:25M. Kolek—911761B. Czerwinski—11811113
WJun 16 · 07:20M. Kolek—101111143B. Czerwinski—1287121
WJun 16 · 04:55M. Kolek—1114710113B. Czerwinski—712111282
WJun 15 · 06:05M. Kolek—1311119113B. Czerwinski—111391172
LJun 15 · 03:50M. Kolek—981161B. Czerwinski—11114113
M. Kolek10
WSep 5 · 01:10M. Rutkowski1.57812111192M. Kolek2.251110139113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Kolek3.0088121162J. Kuzmicz1.361111108113WSep 4 · 23:55M. Kolek2.1011911113T. Filbrandt1.67411791LSep 4 · 22:05M. Kolek2.38791121P. Jendrzejewski1.5311116113LSep 4 · 21:20T. Filbrandt1.6711411113M. Kolek2.10711491LSep 4 · 20:30M. Rutkowski1.57101211113M. Kolek2.251210961WSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113LSep 4 · 17:40K. Kolodziej1.1451111113M. Kolek5.00113921WSep 4 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.6189111172M. Kolek2.20111167113LSep 4 · 24:35M. Kolek2.63831191M. Rutkowski1.4411116113
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123WSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113WSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.88611911113K. Rudomina1.7911711582
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
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B. Czerwinski
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