TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071894
Played Sep 3Finished
Aleksander Lilien
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156111177111012
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
1156111177111012
H2H Aleksander Lilien 6–9 Bartosz Czerwinski Aleksander Lilien has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lilien 1514 vs Czerwinski 1452
Lilien
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lilien 40% vs Czerwinski 60%
Czerwinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lilien 50% vs Czerwinski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lilien +1 · Czerwinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Czerwinski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLilien 2.05 / Czerwinski 1.66
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Czerwinski)-1.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13071894
Lilien2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 90 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Czerwinski1.66
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 69 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it84% 51 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLilien4wins
AwayCzerwinski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLilien57.1%4 of 7
AwayCzerwinski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lilien7Czerwinski3n = 10Lilien took 7 of 10
S2Lilien4Czerwinski6n = 10Czerwinski took 6 of 10
S3Lilien3Czerwinski7n = 10Czerwinski took 7 of 10
S4Lilien4Czerwinski5n = 9Czerwinski took 5 of 9
S5Lilien2Czerwinski3n = 5Czerwinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLilienCzerwinskiL − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.344.1−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLilienCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime831 / 1534 vs 495 / 106654.2%46.4%831 / 1534 vs 495 / 1066Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiLilien 2.05/Czerwinski 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 13:30A. Lilien—11116113B. Czerwinski—681191
WAug 24 · 06:55A. Lilien—114611113B. Czerwinski—41111572
WJun 15 · 05:15A. Lilien—1111514113B. Czerwinski—49111692
LJun 15 · 03:00A. Lilien—7980B. Czerwinski—1111113
WJun 12 · 08:10A. Lilien—11412113B. Czerwinski—7111081
LJun 9 · 06:30A. Lilien—2041311112B. Czerwinski—2211117133
LJun 8 · 05:15A. Lilien—1110981B. Czerwinski—41211113
LJun 2 · 07:20A. Lilien—131197172B. Czerwinski—1151111193
LMay 25 · 03:00A. Lilien—111185112B. Czerwinski—971111133
LMay 20 · 07:45A. Lilien—8111171B. Czerwinski—11136113
A. Lilien10
LSep 7 · 24:10A. Myszewski2.401211113A. Lilien1.5110490LSep 6 · 23:45A. Lilien1.66118991A. Linek2.1071111113LSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113WSep 6 · 21:05A. Lilien1.471111113M. Trela2.453880WSep 6 · 20:05A. Wos1.63115111082A. Lilien2.10911712113LSep 6 · 19:20A. Myszewski2.301111113A. Lilien1.528560LSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182WSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:00M. Trela3.051111113A. Lilien1.319890LSep 6 · 24:10A. Lilien1.83713291K. Kufel1.83111111113
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113LSep 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.7011711113B. Czerwinski2.00711561WSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.88611911113K. Rudomina1.7911711582
Upcoming Matches
A. Lilien
Nothing scheduled
B. Czerwinski
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