TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058947
Played Sep 1Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111511911––––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.81
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
111511911––––
H2H Gracjan Kesik 0–1 Bartosz Czerwinski Gracjan Kesik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:07What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (51%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1513 vs Czerwinski 1403
Kesik
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Czerwinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 50% vs Czerwinski 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +2 · Czerwinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 1.86 / Czerwinski 1.81
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kesik)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13058947
Kesik1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back33% 24 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Czerwinski1.81
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKesik0wins
AwayCzerwinski1wins
Czerwinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKesikCzerwinskiK − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 579 vs 497 / 107154.1%46.4%313 / 579 vs 497 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikKesik 1.86/Czerwinski 1.81
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 12 · 06:30G. Kesik—3960B. Czerwinski—1111113
G. Kesik10
WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123WAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123WSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113LSep 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.7011711113B. Czerwinski2.00711561WSep 1 · 13:30B. Czerwinski1.88611911113K. Rudomina1.7911711582
Upcoming Matches
G. Kesik
Nothing scheduled
B. Czerwinski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.