TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058399
Played Sep 1Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
2.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911118119118––
Szymon Brud
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:43 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeSzymon Brud to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
911118119118––
H2H Gracjan Kesik 3–7 Szymon Brud Gracjan Kesik has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Brud
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Brud
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1502 vs Brud 1489
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Brud 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 40% vs Brud 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +1 · Brud +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Brud) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brud form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 2.22 / Brud 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Brud)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13058399
Kesik2.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back33% 24 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Brud1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 178 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it79% 126 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKesik3wins
AwayBrud7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrud leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik50%3 of 6
AwayBrud100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik6Brud4n = 10Kesik took 6 of 10
S2Kesik7Brud3n = 10Kesik took 7 of 10
S3Kesik3Brud7n = 10Brud took 7 of 10
S4Kesik2Brud6n = 8Brud took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKesikBrudK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.637.3−2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikBrudBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 578 vs 612 / 120354%50.9%312 / 578 vs 612 / 1203Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrudKesik 2.22/Brud 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Brud · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:50G. Kesik—11127113S. Brud—8101181
LMay 30 · 19:00G. Kesik—115851S. Brud—51111113
WMay 29 · 17:20G. Kesik—1111113S. Brud—8630
WFeb 19 · 16:25G. Kesik—1111113S. Brud—6650
LFeb 6 · 23:55G. Kesik—51171122S. Brud—119119113
LJan 31 · 20:00G. Kesik—7111381S. Brud—11715113
LDec 28 · 12:30G. Kesik—11611872S. Brud—711811113
LOct 19 · 02:20G. Kesik—711941S. Brud—11511113
LOct 18 · 23:55G. Kesik—1178131S. Brud—81111153
LAug 30 · 20:35G. Kesik—311351S. Brud—11511113
G. Kesik10
LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123WAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113LSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113
Upcoming Matches
G. Kesik
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S. Brud
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