TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057634
Played Sep 1Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:44 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
118117118––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 1–2 Gracjan Kesik Dawid Kosmal has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:44What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1637 vs Kesik 1495
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Kesik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 60% vs Kesik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +1 · Kesik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kesik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.37 / Kesik 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Kosmal)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13057634
Kosmal1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 173 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it84% 142 of 170
Kesik2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 64 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back35% 26 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKosmal1wins
AwayKesik2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKesik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal2Kesik1n = 3Kosmal took 2 of 3
S2Kosmal1Kesik2n = 3Kesik took 2 of 3
S3Kosmal2Kesik1n = 3Kosmal took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKosmalKesikKosmal − KesikBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.740.3+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 647 vs 313 / 58054.3%54%351 / 647 vs 313 / 580Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.37/Kesik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal—1111113G. Kesik—8780
LMay 3 · 13:25D. Kosmal—12101291G. Kesik—101214113
LMay 2 · 12:35D. Kosmal—88111182G. Kesik—111199113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
G. Kesik10
LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113LSep 1 · 04:25G. Kesik2.4011118832J. Zochniak1.50491111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123WAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
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