TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057097
Played Sep 1Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116811811411––
Jakub Zochniak
Away
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116811811411––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 10–12 Jakub Zochniak Dawid Kosmal has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:34What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1679 vs Zochniak 1567
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Zochniak 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 50% vs Zochniak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +2 · Zochniak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.52 / Zochniak 2.30
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kosmal)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13057097
Kosmal1.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 169 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it84% 139 of 165
Zochniak2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 162 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back13% 34 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal6wins
AwayZochniak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal100%6 of 6
AwayZochniak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Zochniak4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal8Zochniak2n = 10Kosmal took 8 of 10
S3Kosmal4Zochniak6n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Kosmal6Zochniak2n = 8Kosmal took 6 of 8
S5Kosmal1Zochniak3n = 4Zochniak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalZochniakK − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.1+3.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 640 vs 1196 / 227054.5%52.7%349 / 640 vs 1196 / 2270Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.52/Zochniak 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.4%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 08:05D. Kosmal—121191192J. Zochniak—149118113
LAug 19 · 04:00D. Kosmal—81161162J. Zochniak—119117113
LAug 18 · 05:35D. Kosmal—511591J. Zochniak—11911113
WAug 11 · 12:15D. Kosmal—1111113J. Zochniak—5380
LAug 11 · 03:20D. Kosmal—96111162J. Zochniak—111177113
WAug 10 · 13:30D. Kosmal—111189113J. Zochniak—88111172
WAug 5 · 05:35D. Kosmal—11118113J. Zochniak—541141
WAug 4 · 03:00D. Kosmal—1111113J. Zochniak—8780
WJul 15 · 13:55D. Kosmal—11113113J. Zochniak—961161
WJun 8 · 15:30D. Kosmal—11711113J. Zochniak—611941
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562
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