TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058220
Played Sep 1Finished
Adrian Spychala
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611117811116
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
117611117811116
H2H Adrian Spychala 2–2 Dawid Kosmal Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Spychala 1730 vs Kosmal 1649
Spychala
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Spychala 60% vs Kosmal 40%
Spychala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Spychala 60% vs Kosmal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Spychala +1 · Kosmal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 2.00 / Kosmal 1.71
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kosmal)+0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13058220
Spychala2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 132 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back13% 37 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 164
Kosmal1.71
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 169 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it84% 139 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSpychala2wins
AwayKosmal2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala2Kosmal2n = 4split evenly
S2Spychala2Kosmal2n = 4split evenly
S3Spychala3Kosmal1n = 4Spychala took 3 of 4
S4Spychala3Kosmal1n = 4Spychala took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSpychalaKosmalS − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.239.8+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1546 vs 350 / 64437.2%54.4%575 / 1546 vs 350 / 644Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalSpychala 2.00/Kosmal 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Spychala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 12:10A. Spychala—117111072D. Kosmal—611912113
WOct 27 · 12:55A. Spychala—101111113D. Kosmal—126691
WSep 21 · 20:40A. Spychala—11911113D. Kosmal—611951
LJul 20 · 18:20A. Spychala—71191142D. Kosmal—117116113
A. Spychala10
WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113WSep 2 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.63101111652A. Spychala1.44129911113WSep 2 · 15:25A. Spychala1.91411145113J. Chmielowski1.80117121182WSep 2 · 14:35A. Spychala1.7011118113J. Witkowski1.95771171LSep 2 · 13:00A. Spychala1.80116612102M. Kolek1.858111110123WSep 2 · 11:45A. Spychala1.8371111113K. Wisniewski1.86118761LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala2.95481591J. Kuzmicz1.33111113113WSep 2 · 09:00A. Spychala2.25101111153D. Prokopcov1.551289131
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
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