TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057821
Played Sep 1Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116116711118
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:45 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
611116116711118
H2H Karol Wisniewski 5–7 Dawid Kosmal Karol Wisniewski has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Kosmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Kosmal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1645 vs Kosmal 1660
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Kosmal 60%
Kosmal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Kosmal 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -2 · Kosmal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.20 / Kosmal 1.58
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kosmal)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13057821
Wisniewski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 249 of 628
Down 0–1, comes back20% 76 of 387
Down 0–2, comes back4% 9 of 225
Kosmal1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 169 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it84% 139 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayKosmal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski66.7%2 of 3
AwayKosmal71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski3Kosmal7n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski2Kosmal4n = 6Kosmal took 4 of 6
S5Wisniewski2Kosmal1n = 3Wisniewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiKosmalW − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.238.2−4.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime1009 / 2215 vs 350 / 64345.6%54.4%1009 / 2215 vs 350 / 643Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalWisniewski 2.20/Kosmal 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 10:05K. Wisniewski—1010110D. Kosmal—1212133
LAug 28 · 11:45K. Wisniewski—117891D. Kosmal—61111113
WJul 14 · 10:55K. Wisniewski—1111113D. Kosmal—7770
WJun 23 · 11:20K. Wisniewski—11915113D. Kosmal—7111361
LMar 18 · 10:55K. Wisniewski—4760D. Kosmal—1111113
WFeb 6 · 15:45K. Wisniewski—511128113D. Kosmal—116101152
WFeb 5 · 13:20K. Wisniewski—711911113D. Kosmal—11711992
LOct 27 · 14:10K. Wisniewski—451121D. Kosmal—11117113
LSep 21 · 16:25K. Wisniewski—311117102D. Kosmal—119711123
LSep 20 · 17:55K. Wisniewski—11810D. Kosmal—1311113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391WSep 4 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz1.60811991K. Wisniewski2.1011711113WSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133LSep 3 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.741111113K. Wisniewski1.956980
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
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