TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13053467
Played Sep 1Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1412119711115––
Artur Sobel
Away
3.05
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:47 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1412119711115––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 11–4 Artur Sobel Artur Sobel has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (70%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1645 vs Sobel 1547
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Sobel 80%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 30% vs Sobel 50%
Sobel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Sobel +3
Sobel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.32 / Sobel 3.05
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13053467
Kosmal1.32
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 167 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it96% 89 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it84% 137 of 163
Sobel3.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal8wins
AwaySobel2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal87.5%7 of 8
AwaySobeln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal8Sobel2n = 10Kosmal took 8 of 10
S2Kosmal6Sobel4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S3Kosmal6Sobel4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S4Kosmal6Sobel2n = 8Kosmal took 6 of 8
S5Kosmal2Sobel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalSobelK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.7+5.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalSobelBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 637 vs 638 / 119154.3%53.6%346 / 637 vs 638 / 1191Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.32/Sobel 3.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.2%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 06:50D. Kosmal—11311113A. Sobel—611761
LAug 11 · 13:30D. Kosmal—101111762A. Sobel—127911113
WAug 11 · 06:25D. Kosmal—1311113A. Sobel—11840
WAug 10 · 12:15D. Kosmal—11138123A. Sobel—41111101
WJun 9 · 13:05D. Kosmal—11115113A. Sobel—641191
WJun 8 · 13:05D. Kosmal—611114113A. Sobel—11661162
WMay 11 · 18:30D. Kosmal—156811113A. Sobel—131111762
WMay 4 · 20:05D. Kosmal—111011113A. Sobel—912491
LMay 4 · 09:00D. Kosmal—119101162A. Sobel—411127113
WApr 20 · 18:55D. Kosmal—1111113A. Sobel—7770
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel1.937811111B. Czerwinski1.7811118133WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942
Upcoming Matches
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A. Sobel
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