TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057107
Played Sep 1Finished
Szymon Brud
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411911811––
Dawid Kosmal
Away
1.26
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:32 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
117411911811––
H2H Szymon Brud 5–8 Dawid Kosmal Szymon Brud has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brud 1503 vs Kosmal 1654
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brud 40% vs Kosmal 60%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brud 40% vs Kosmal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brud +1 · Kosmal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrud 3.40 / Kosmal 1.26
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kosmal)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13057107
Brud3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 137
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Kosmal1.26
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 169 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 91 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it84% 139 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrud4wins
AwayKosmal6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrud75%3 of 4
AwayKosmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brud4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Brud3Kosmal7n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S3Brud6Kosmal4n = 10Brud took 6 of 10
S4Brud2Kosmal7n = 9Kosmal took 7 of 9
S5Brud4Kosmal2n = 6Brud took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrudKosmalB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.944.2−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrudKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 1197 vs 347 / 63851%54.4%610 / 1197 vs 347 / 638Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalBrud 3.40/Kosmal 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 04:00S. Brud—5111141D. Kosmal—11137113
WAug 11 · 11:00S. Brud—1161011183D. Kosmal—911125162
LAug 11 · 04:00S. Brud—471131D. Kosmal—11116113
LAug 10 · 14:40S. Brud—87121252D. Kosmal—11111010113
LMay 19 · 15:00S. Brud—11511972D. Kosmal—511511113
WMar 24 · 21:05S. Brud—111148113D. Kosmal—87111182
LMar 16 · 21:30S. Brud—881181D. Kosmal—11116113
LFeb 25 · 12:50S. Brud—67120D. Kosmal—1111143
WFeb 24 · 17:35S. Brud—1111312113D. Kosmal—96111462
WFeb 6 · 20:45S. Brud—811116113D. Kosmal—11791182
S. Brud10
WSep 7 · 08:10S. Brud1.50611117113K. Sulkowski2.3511641142WSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:40A. Szoltysek2.7557110S. Brud1.381111133WSep 7 · 04:55S. Brud1.401111113M. Zwolinski2.755590WSep 7 · 03:50S. Brud—1411133B. Wisniewski—126110LSep 2 · 13:55J. Glanowski1.851111113S. Brud1.858890LSep 2 · 13:05B. Kwodawski2.851111113S. Brud1.357960WSep 2 · 12:15S. Brud1.39811139113M. Zwolinski2.70117111162WSep 2 · 10:35S. Brud1.901111113R. Stapor1.809730WSep 2 · 09:50K. Rudomina2.1511119772S. Brud1.61981111113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal1.301113113M. Minda3.2091160LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
Upcoming Matches
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