TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057255
Played Sep 1Finished
Dawid Kosmal
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311116––––
Michal Minda
Away
3.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:12 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1191311116––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 15–4 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-4 in 19
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 11 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1637 vs Minda 1483
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 60% vs Minda 20%
Kosmal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 50% vs Minda 30%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal -1 · Minda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.30 / Minda 3.20
Signal prob.76% / 25%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13057255
Kosmal1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 173 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it84% 142 of 170
Minda3.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 169 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back25% 55 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal7wins
AwayMinda3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal77.8%7 of 9
AwayMindan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal9Minda1n = 10Kosmal took 9 of 10
S2Kosmal6Minda4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S3Kosmal7Minda3n = 10Kosmal took 7 of 10
S4Kosmal2Minda2n = 4split evenly
S5Kosmal1Minda2n = 3Minda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalMindaK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.329.8+7.5per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 647 vs 1024 / 201154.3%50.9%351 / 647 vs 1024 / 2011Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.30/Minda 3.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.5%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:25D. Kosmal—1113113M. Minda—91160
WAug 28 · 06:25D. Kosmal—1111113M. Minda—5440
LAug 19 · 08:30D. Kosmal—111071192M. Minda—812113113
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Kosmal—1110116113M. Minda—51291152
WAug 11 · 14:40D. Kosmal—11118113M. Minda—441141
WAug 11 · 07:40D. Kosmal—1112113M. Minda—91090
WJul 24 · 07:40D. Kosmal—1111113M. Minda—6640
LJul 24 · 05:15D. Kosmal—118100M. Minda—1311123
LJul 15 · 13:05D. Kosmal—11711362M. Minda—911911113
WJun 24 · 11:00D. Kosmal—1111113M. Minda—7740
D. Kosmal10
WSep 1 · 14:15M. Sklensky1.908780D. Kosmal1.801111113LSep 1 · 13:25D. Prokopcov1.851111113D. Kosmal1.854660LSep 1 · 11:20A. Spychala2.00116118113D. Kosmal1.7171171162LSep 1 · 10:30K. Wisniewski2.20611117113D. Kosmal1.5811661182LSep 1 · 09:00L. Jarocki1.7071111113D. Kosmal2.00118961WSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780LSep 1 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.52118841J. Zochniak2.3061111113WSep 1 · 04:00S. Brud3.40114981D. Kosmal1.2671111113WSep 1 · 03:20D. Kosmal1.3214117113A. Sobel3.051291151LAug 31 · 14:35D. Kosmal2.1091181292K. Glazowski1.601191110113
M. Minda10
LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Wozniak2.10117911113M. Minda1.6791111872WSep 5 · 09:00J. Przewlocki2.951191031M. Minda1.3561112113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kosmal
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
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