TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057963
Played Sep 1Finished
Artur Sobel
Home
1.93
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7118111181113––
Bartosz Czerwinski
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
7118111181113––
H2H Artur Sobel 2–5 Bartosz Czerwinski Artur Sobel has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Czerwinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1579 vs Czerwinski 1379
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 80% vs Czerwinski 40%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 70% vs Czerwinski 40%
Sobel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel +1 · Czerwinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.93 / Czerwinski 1.78
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobel)+6.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13057963
Sobel1.93
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Czerwinski1.78
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 67 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it83% 49 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSobel2wins
AwayCzerwinski5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel66.7%2 of 3
AwayCzerwinski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel3Czerwinski4n = 7Czerwinski took 4 of 7
S2Sobel4Czerwinski3n = 7Sobel took 4 of 7
S3Sobel4Czerwinski3n = 7Sobel took 4 of 7
S4Sobel4Czerwinski3n = 7Sobel took 4 of 7
S5Sobel0Czerwinski4n = 4Czerwinski took 4 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away457%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSobelCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match43.646.6−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1189 vs 498 / 107153.7%46.5%638 / 1189 vs 498 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 1.93/Czerwinski 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 12:15A. Sobel—111112113B. Czerwinski—781481
LAug 24 · 04:30A. Sobel—711811112B. Czerwinski—118119133
LJun 29 · 11:50A. Sobel—81214992B. Czerwinski—11101211113
WJun 9 · 03:50A. Sobel—11916113B. Czerwinski—6111481
LJun 8 · 07:45A. Sobel—111011682B. Czerwinski—912211113
LJun 5 · 04:30A. Sobel—8121051B. Czerwinski—111012113
LMar 24 · 09:20A. Sobel—13121332B. Czerwinski—11111011113
A. Sobel10
LSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112LSep 7 · 06:50M. Sklensky1.471112133A. Sobel2.45610110WSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591WSep 7 · 04:25A. Sobel2.2011116113D. Solilo1.57221111WSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113LSep 1 · 14:20A. Sobel1.9311128992K. Rudomina1.775101111113LSep 1 · 12:40P. Blocho2.001111113A. Sobel1.709830LSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162WSep 1 · 09:50A. Sobel1.712111111113S. Brud1.9711135942LSep 1 · 08:30S. Brud2.00111110113A. Sobel1.71991251
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 7 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.40119871B. Wisniewski2.7541111113LSep 7 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.86115751S. Brud1.8361111113WSep 7 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.541111113K. Sulkowski2.254950WSep 7 · 04:10A. Szoltysek2.6511561182B. Czerwinski1.40711119113WSep 7 · 03:25B. Czerwinski—117118113M. Zwolinski—71161132WSep 3 · 14:20A. Lilien2.05116117102B. Czerwinski1.66511711123WSep 3 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.8079120B. Czerwinski1.901111143LSep 3 · 11:25A. Mugowski2.008111111113B. Czerwinski1.7011791342WSep 3 · 10:35R. Stapor1.86118111192B. Czerwinski1.80611813113LSep 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.7011711113B. Czerwinski2.00711561
Upcoming Matches
A. Sobel
B. Czerwinski
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