TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057104
Played Sep 1Finished
Gracjan Kesik
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114119811811311
Jakub Zochniak
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeJakub Zochniak to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
114119811811311
H2H Gracjan Kesik 6–8 Jakub Zochniak Gracjan Kesik has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:33What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Zochniak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Zochniak
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kesik 1542 vs Zochniak 1556
Zochniak
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kesik 40% vs Zochniak 20%
Kesik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kesik 70% vs Zochniak 40%
Kesik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kesik +2 · Zochniak -3
Zochniak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zochniak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zochniak form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKesik 2.40 / Zochniak 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zochniak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13057104
Kesik2.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 61 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back33% 24 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Zochniak1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 327 of 498
Up 2–0, closes it94% 151 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it78% 241 of 309
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKesik4wins
AwayZochniak6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZochniak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKesik50%3 of 6
AwayZochniak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kesik6Zochniak4n = 10Kesik took 6 of 10
S2Kesik2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S3Kesik2Zochniak8n = 10Zochniak took 8 of 10
S4Kesik3Zochniak4n = 7Zochniak took 4 of 7
S5Kesik3Zochniak1n = 4Kesik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKesikZochniakK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.0−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKesikZochniakBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 571 vs 1195 / 227054.3%52.6%310 / 571 vs 1195 / 2270Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZochniakKesik 2.40/Zochniak 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Zochniak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zochniak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:50G. Kesik—1131110113J. Zochniak—71181262
LJul 19 · 15:25G. Kesik—1196131J. Zochniak—91111153
WMay 31 · 09:20G. Kesik—10111114113J. Zochniak—129131282
WApr 6 · 16:55G. Kesik—1171011113J. Zochniak—61112752
LMar 5 · 06:15G. Kesik—6860J. Zochniak—1111113
LDec 28 · 11:40G. Kesik—121181062J. Zochniak—1091112113
LNov 30 · 19:40G. Kesik—11111071J. Zochniak—91312113
LNov 1 · 10:30G. Kesik—8580J. Zochniak—1111113
WOct 11 · 11:05G. Kesik—11811113J. Zochniak—811271
LJul 12 · 10:40G. Kesik—4780J. Zochniak—1111113
G. Kesik10
LSep 1 · 14:40G. Kesik1.861590B. Czerwinski1.811111113WSep 1 · 13:05G. Kesik2.2291111113S. Brud1.57118981WSep 1 · 11:50G. Kesik2.10611135113A. Sobel1.65112111162LSep 1 · 10:10G. Kesik1.991011911102P. Blocho1.70129115123LSep 1 · 09:00G. Kesik1.83311591K. Rudomina1.8311811113LSep 1 · 07:40D. Kosmal1.371111113G. Kesik2.758780WSep 1 · 06:50S. Brud1.608101181G. Kesik2.2011127113LSep 1 · 06:00G. Kesik1.858770A. Sobel1.851111113WSep 1 · 03:40M. Minda1.46127311102G. Kesik2.461011115123WAug 31 · 14:40G. Kesik1.7013511113B. Mleczko1.951111751
J. Zochniak10
WSep 7 · 07:40J. Zochniak1.72119119133A. Sobel2.00711811112WSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:15J. Zochniak1.75991281D. Solilo1.95111110113LSep 7 · 04:00M. Sklensky1.42111111113J. Zochniak2.60471351LSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 6 · 19:40D. Jadam1.61178912113J. Zochniak2.201511111092WSep 6 · 18:50F. Mlynarski1.40810111192J. Zochniak2.75111254113WSep 6 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.6371111123K. Kapik1.441159101WSep 6 · 16:30J. Zochniak2.75139144113J. Kuzmicz1.401111121162LSep 6 · 15:45L. Pietraszko1.73961111113J. Zochniak2.0011119562
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